Jawa Engineer very rare in Guild Store
This has come up a lot the past few days on my guild chat. Small sample size but a guildmate and I just payed for a combined 6 refreshes, no JE. I paid for 3 of the jawa/ewok packs the other day...
Forum Discussion
"NicWester;733148" wrote:"JoseIrimia;732511" wrote:"NicWester;732424" wrote:
Confirmation bias. There's no conspiracy.
That's the problem in this game. Many people just running up and down mindlessness saying "It's RNG" or "confirmation bias" to justify everything.
It took me to fully level JE way longer than what was expected if the rate of apperance were 1/3. So, it's not RNG. It's like the type/shape of mods or the raid gear, not all have the same probability of drop. In this game some event probability is not random.
Roll a die a thousand times and you'll see the same number come up in long sequences because there are only six possible results. There are half that many raid characters so you're going to see more frequent, even longer sequences.
When you have less than 400 guild currency you don't even look at the store, let alone spend crystals for refreshes, so you aren't seeing the data.
Finally, just to use my anecdotal experience, I was at 70/85 on JE yesterday when our raid ended and put me at ~1600 currency. Of the five shipments since then, four were JE.
Precisely this.
People won't notice the string of good RNG they get because they always focus when it doesn't go in their favor. Hence why whenever someone inevitably mentions "horrible drop rates" you get people who simply state it's RNG because that's what it is. You're always gonna have people join in on their bad RNG too because it's just a mindless circlejerk. Sorry that you had bad RNG but it's bound to happen and it'll happen to all of us.
