Drop rate for crafting items?

AJtheboss1 wrote:

efin98 wrote:
Capes are 100% drop rate every 4 hours from HQ
Handcuffs are 100% drop rate but takes a full 3 bouts of 4 hours to obtain(12 hours or so)
Telephones are 20% and only obtained by visiting neighbors and tapping the phones on their buildings
And as mentioned the lock picks are 10% and obtained from tapping criminals loose in the town.

Thanks for the info efin98 !

It shouldn't be too difficult getting everything in a week or so.

At least less active players have a chance at getting these items too! Unlike during Halloween :roll:

Active players get them faster, but LPNintendoITA has said that crafting will last longer than Issue 2 so there is plenty of time to obtain one of everything.

Came back to my game after hour and a half and picked up 4 lock picks. Yeah, makes up for the dry spell earlier!

efin98 wrote:

AJtheboss1 wrote:

efin98 wrote:
Capes are 100% drop rate every 4 hours from HQ
Handcuffs are 100% drop rate but takes a full 3 bouts of 4 hours to obtain(12 hours or so)
Telephones are 20% and only obtained by visiting neighbors and tapping the phones on their buildings
And as mentioned the lock picks are 10% and obtained from tapping criminals loose in the town.

Thanks for the info efin98 !

It shouldn't be too difficult getting everything in a week or so.

At least less active players have a chance at getting these items too! Unlike during Halloween :roll:

Active players get them faster, but LPNintendoITA has said that crafting will last longer than Issue 2 so there is plenty of time to obtain one of everything.

It looks like it'll last till March 24th.

I just wish the lockpicks dropped more often. I suppose we still have a lot of time to craft everything.

Got my last 2 lock picks. Gardens will be done building tonight. :D

70 more lock picks to go for the zenith times i am doing the hardest first then working my way backwards.

RareSteak-N-Ale wrote:

petehd14 wrote:
I got four lockpicks easily, but the last one is impossible. I was wondering if there's a limit per day.

Yes! This happened to me tonight after I got to the crafting stage. So much Arbitrarium, no lock picks. It nice to know I'm not alone. Cheers!

There isn't' a limit, the drop rate is simply 10%. You will go through times where you can pick up 2 or 3 in a row and then several where you get none at all

moarku wrote:
I thought I had read somewhere that lockpicks could be gotten from criminals in your own town or friends. But I just went through the majority of my neighbors and got zero. Tons of phones though.

Which basically means my current loot (four hours after getting the botanical garden) is 4 lock picks, 1 cape, 1 handcuff, 34 phones. And given that phones are ONLY used for the Zenith Apartments and lock picks are for everything, the balance seems way off to me.

I have 34 lock picks, when 10% should have me at over 40. So I think the 10% is a generous assessment of the drop-rate. I play several times a day, but I'm seriously questioning whether I'll be able to finish all the craft items in time.

LisaSimpsonOH wrote:

moarku wrote:
I thought I had read somewhere that lockpicks could be gotten from criminals in your own town or friends. But I just went through the majority of my neighbors and got zero. Tons of phones though.

Which basically means my current loot (four hours after getting the botanical garden) is 4 lock picks, 1 cape, 1 handcuff, 34 phones. And given that phones are ONLY used for the Zenith Apartments and lock picks are for everything, the balance seems way off to me.

I have 34 lock picks, when 10% should have me at over 40. So I think the 10% is a generous assessment of the drop-rate. I play several times a day, but I'm seriously questioning whether I'll be able to finish all the craft items in time.

There is not any number that 10% should have you at because chance does not work the same way probability does.

Probability tells us that we are likely to get one from every ten crooks and that after 400 we are likely to have between 35 and 45 (so you aren't far from that).

Chance on the other hand tells us that each crook is rolled separately and unaffected by any others we tap so after 400 we can have anywhere between 0 and 400 picks but very rare to hit either extreme.

What really matters is how many picks are you getting compared to capes I'm currently at 36 picks to 6 capes just from clearing crooks each time I collect capes and attack felons so at current rates picks shouldn't be much of a problem for me.

Has anybody else noticed a major uptick in the lock pick drop rate today?

I had noticed I was starting to get a lot more in the last couple of hours before going to bed last night, but didn't track them. This morning, my big sweep of the entire town generated 5 picks, though I didn't think to count the criminals. Since then I actually did start tracking them, and so far I'm up to 7 picks for 41 criminals (17%). It definitely felt like it was far below 10% before that, maybe as low as 5%.

Just wondering if it's simply that my luck has shifted or if other people are noticing something similar, in which case EA might have adjusted something.

moarku wrote:
Has anybody else noticed a major uptick in the lock pick drop rate today?

I had noticed I was starting to get a lot more in the last couple of hours before going to bed last night, but didn't track them. This morning, my big sweep of the entire town generated 5 picks, though I didn't think to count the criminals. Since then I actually did start tracking them, and so far I'm up to 7 picks for 41 criminals (17%). It definitely felt like it was far below 10% before that, maybe as low as 5%.

Just wondering if it's simply that my luck has shifted or if other people are noticing something similar, in which case EA might have adjusted something.

I started at about 8 am so in 3 hrs 30mins i have earned 15 lock picks did not count the criminals