Neuro - simple: because nothing else makes sense. Numerous players have calculated it's not possible for us to hit even the first total at the rate we're going, and there's no way the devs haven't done that math as well. The community counter was totally fake during Halloween, and it's probably totally fake now too, but for different reasons.
Also, they're not providing the name of the first community prize, like they do with the individual prizes when you're 'saving up' for the next one in line. I don't recall if this was also the case during Halloween.
Finally, RE: my Grumple theory, what will The Grumple have to do or say if there ISN'T a task involving the holding back, then release, of a bag full of Christmas presents? I could be wrong, but given all the different factors in play here (mathematical impossibility to hit all community targets, likely fake counter, Grumple arriving on 12/24), that's my theory.
So now that we've received the totem, and not any of the other prizes, would you like to amend this theory of yours?
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I would have been done but was sick for 2 days so I wasn't able to play.
But! I finally got the Helter Shelter! Just need Clause Co!
Town 2 - 14000+
Town 3 - 18000+