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Sideshow You Donuts!

I just got five yesterday too.

Replies

  • drosax1
    4860 posts New member
    edited April 2014
    Congrats although these never stopped it's a 1% chance of finding it.

    however the 5 from 300 games played is still up in the air
  • MaxxSpider
    5465 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    drosax1 wrote:
    Congrats although these never stopped it's a 1% chance of finding it.

    however the 5 from 300 games played is still up in the air

    Every 300 balloons like clockwork I get 5 donuts
  • neuroheart
    8132 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    MaxxSpider wrote:
    drosax1 wrote:
    Congrats although these never stopped it's a 1% chance of finding it.

    however the 5 from 300 games played is still up in the air

    Every 300 balloons like clockwork I get 5 donuts
    It took four months and 300 games (at least) between my win in November and my most recent win last month.
  • EldarOfSuburbia
    307 posts
    edited April 2014
    I've not been counting, but I think I may have missed one along the way a couple of months ago. I'll start counting now. Though I think I said that the last time I got donuts too.
  • RynoJordan23
    470 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    drosax1 wrote:
    Congrats although these never stopped it's a 1% chance of finding it.

    however the 5 from 300 games played is still up in the air

    I won 5 donuts not too long after getting Sideshow You. Nothing since. And I know I'm way past 300. So either it's not true, or I'm about to hit a lucky streak. lol
  • MR_Plow123
    85 posts
    edited April 2014
    I feel like there's a lot of ambiguity with these.
    I've heard from different people:

    You're guaranteed donuts after every 300 rounds
    You were only guaranteed donuts after the first 300 rounds
    You have a 1/300 chance to get the donuts (a .33% chance)
    No one has clarified if that's per balloon or per visit
    No one has clarified if these probabilities are just the probability that the donuts can appear in one of the balloons we pop (ie. if the actual odds of getting donuts are 1/300 *1/6 or however many balloons there are)

    Not that I don't believe the people saying they haven't gotten any donuts after x amount of time, but there's a lot of subjectivity. I also definitely won't believe anyone that just bluntly answers these questions without showing some proof. Pretty much, I'm looking for someone who actually looks at the game files to give some insight and stop the rumors.
  • juliet603
    17888 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    I won five donuts on sideshow you for the first time yesterday, one day after complaining on here that I'd never won any since KL began! :lol:
  • EldarOfSuburbia
    307 posts
    edited April 2014
    MR_Plow123 wrote:
    I feel like there's a lot of ambiguity with these.
    I've heard from different people:

    You're guaranteed donuts after every 300 rounds
    You were only guaranteed donuts after the first 300 rounds
    You have a 1/300 chance to get the donuts (a .33% chance)
    No one has clarified if that's per balloon or per visit
    No one has clarified if these probabilities are just the probability that the donuts can appear in one of the balloons we pop (ie. if the actual odds of getting donuts are 1/300 *1/6 or however many balloons there are)

    Not that I don't believe the people saying they haven't gotten any donuts after x amount of time, but there's a lot of subjectivity. I also definitely won't believe anyone that just bluntly answers these questions without showing some proof. Pretty much, I'm looking for someone who actually looks at the game files to give some insight and stop the rumors.

    My take is: you are guaranteed 5 donuts with every 300th balloon you pop (this is my stated opinion), which is every 100th game you play, which happens to be 1 in 100 games you win 5 donuts, which happens to be 1%, which happens to be the percentage that everyone quotes.

    Is there an additional probability that you win donuts at random, outside of the guaranteed once-every-300-pops donuts? Maybe. I've not seen any evidence of this.

    More likely, people have seen the 1% figure and immediately jumped to the conclusion that it's a probability that you'll win donuts, when in fact it isn't. P(Win donuts on games 1-99) = 0. P(Win donuts on game 100) = 1.
  • neuroheart
    8132 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    you are guaranteed 5 donuts with every 300th balloon you pop (this is my stated opinion), which is every 100th game you play
    *sigh*

    If you're stated opinion were true, I would have won donuts three times between November and now, instead of once.
  • Wijsheid
    9653 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    MaxxSpider wrote:
    drosax1 wrote:
    Congrats although these never stopped it's a 1% chance of finding it.

    however the 5 from 300 games played is still up in the air

    Every 300 balloons like clockwork I get 5 donuts

    That is a myth. I pop twice a day and it as been from september that i've seen donuts...
  • datasurgeon
    1878 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    I pop at least twice a day and the last 5 donuts I received was November 2014
  • rwvolture
    1260 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    Wijsheid wrote:
    MaxxSpider wrote:
    drosax1 wrote:
    Congrats although these never stopped it's a 1% chance of finding it.

    however the 5 from 300 games played is still up in the air

    Every 300 balloons like clockwork I get 5 donuts

    That is a myth. I pop twice a day and it as been from september that i've seen donuts...

    same here
  • pjblaze
    95 posts
    edited April 2014
    I usually play at least twice a day. I got 5 donuts last month and that was my 3rd win since Krustyland started (whenever that was)
  • i_em_evilhomer
    47 posts
    edited April 2014
    I pop at least twice a day and the last 5 donuts I received was November 2014

    haha so the last time you got donuts was 7 months in the future, but on a serious note assuming this 300 balloon theory was true and you play everyday twice a day for 100 games thats 50 days, who knows maybe it has to be 50 consecutive days or maybe you either get the 5 donuts or 75 tickets, no, that doesnt sound right whatever the case

    donuts will forever be an enigma
  • sherryt07
    3273 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    I win.

    mKO2oOFl.jpg
  • utfan2000200
    143 posts Member
    edited April 2014
    Just got my second one

    lztCPQtl.jpg
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