The odds are 20% which are second best odds after gold eggs which have the best odds at 45% it's only day 4 but you're right it's not possible to get one they come in packs of 3 you'll get them
It is not that hard to get 50 Easter fences to be honest. I have 30 Easter fences so far. They are pretty common to get from the pink Easter box. I think the real challenge is to actually collect 500 Easter eggs every time for a box. I think it is worth it to finish the quest after all they are giving us 15 free donuts just to place down 50 Easter fences!
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