How on earth have you gotten six and I still haven't gotten any? How many missiles do you generally have when starting to tap through your friends towns? I generally have about five. I almost always get either one or two bronze bag or fifty probes and then two bags of gummy bears. I wonder if there's a pattern or something?

Randomness! From what I have seen, there is a 1% chance that each UFO awards a prize of 30 donuts. I'd say I'm averaging 3 ammo per day from the ray gun and treat bags, so for the full length of the event I can probably expect to shoot down around 100 UFOs.

Assuming that each UFO is independent of the ones before it, here are the probabilities of winning each possible number of donuts if a player shoots down 100 UFOs:

0 donuts: 36.6%
30 donuts: 37.0%
60 donuts: 18.5%
90 donuts: 6.1%
120 donuts: 1.5%
150 donuts: 0.3% (1 in 333 players will get this)
180 donuts: 0.05% (1 in 2000 players will get this)

Unfortunately I am still in the 0 donuts club...those who have won 6 times already should consider themselves extremely lucky!

Am I missing tricks on how to get more ammo as I barely get1 a day ?

Sounds about right if you don't have the ray gun. Ammo is quite rare as a treat bag prize, I'd say I'm getting about 1 a day from them on average - maybe 2 or 3 on a good day.

Am I missing tricks on how to get more ammo as I barely get1 a day ?

Sounds about right if you don't have the ray gun. Ammo is quite rare as a treat bag prize, I'd say I'm getting about 1 a day from them on average - maybe 2 or 3 on a good day.

Thank you as I don't have that and did wonder if I was missing something

How on earth have you gotten six and I still haven't gotten any? How many missiles do you generally have when starting to tap through your friends towns? I generally have about five. I almost always get either one or two bronze bag or fifty probes and then two bags of gummy bears. I wonder if there's a pattern or something?

Randomness! From what I have seen, there is a 1% chance that each UFO awards a prize of 30 donuts. I'd say I'm averaging 3 ammo per day from the ray gun and treat bags, so for the full length of the event I can probably expect to shoot down around 100 UFOs.

Assuming that each UFO is independent of the ones before it, here are the probabilities of winning each possible number of donuts if a player shoots down 100 UFOs:

0 donuts: 36.6%
30 donuts: 37.0%
60 donuts: 18.5%
90 donuts: 6.1%
120 donuts: 1.5%
150 donuts: 0.3% (1 in 333 players will get this)
180 donuts: 0.05% (1 in 2000 players will get this)

Unfortunately I am still in the 0 donuts club...those who have won 6 times already should consider themselves extremely lucky!

So what you're saying is I'm not lucky and donut-Jesus doesn't love me?

Not only am I still in the 0 Donuts club, I was at 0 ammo from the second day of Phase Two until today when I opened up over 100 bags I had saved. I received 5 ammo and got 1 Silver Bag and 4 helpings of 50 Gummy Bears...womp womp

How on earth have you gotten six and I still haven't gotten any? How many missiles do you generally have when starting to tap through your friends towns? I generally have about five. I almost always get either one or two bronze bag or fifty probes and then two bags of gummy bears. I wonder if there's a pattern or something?

Randomness! From what I have seen, there is a 1% chance that each UFO awards a prize of 30 donuts. I'd say I'm averaging 3 ammo per day from the ray gun and treat bags, so for the full length of the event I can probably expect to shoot down around 100 UFOs.

Assuming that each UFO is independent of the ones before it, here are the probabilities of winning each possible number of donuts if a player shoots down 100 UFOs:

0 donuts: 36.6%
30 donuts: 37.0%
60 donuts: 18.5%
90 donuts: 6.1%
120 donuts: 1.5%
150 donuts: 0.3% (1 in 333 players will get this)
180 donuts: 0.05% (1 in 2000 players will get this)

Unfortunately I am still in the 0 donuts club...those who have won 6 times already should consider themselves extremely lucky!

I'm still in the 0 donuts club too - does that make us the unlucky 36.6%?

How on earth have you gotten six and I still haven't gotten any? How many missiles do you generally have when starting to tap through your friends towns? I generally have about five. I almost always get either one or two bronze bag or fifty probes and then two bags of gummy bears. I wonder if there's a pattern or something?

Randomness! From what I have seen, there is a 1% chance that each UFO awards a prize of 30 donuts. I'd say I'm averaging 3 ammo per day from the ray gun and treat bags, so for the full length of the event I can probably expect to shoot down around 100 UFOs.

Assuming that each UFO is independent of the ones before it, here are the probabilities of winning each possible number of donuts if a player shoots down 100 UFOs:

0 donuts: 36.6%
30 donuts: 37.0%
60 donuts: 18.5%
90 donuts: 6.1%
120 donuts: 1.5%
150 donuts: 0.3% (1 in 333 players will get this)
180 donuts: 0.05% (1 in 2000 players will get this)

Unfortunately I am still in the 0 donuts club...those who have won 6 times already should consider themselves extremely lucky!

I'm still in the 0 donuts club too - does that make us the unlucky 36.6%?

I guess so! However I was fortunate to get 30 donuts this morning from an ammo I got from the treat bags I had been saving for Phase 3...so I am now a member of the 37%!

If someone else wrote this, I'd be calling **** on them, but without pics, I swear it really did happen...... (I got back to back 30 donuts this morning. 30 donus in one town, next town another 30.) I'd like to say I'm sorry about getting kicked out of the group, but I'm really not.

IF I manage to win 30 donuts the good news is it will take me back to where I was before buying Witch Marge, been fairly lucky with FP and treat bag donuts plus got some from KL the other day.

Unlikely though as seem to be getting 1 ammo every 2 days

So I started my friend visits with 5 ammo. First UFO - Bronze Treat Bag. 2nd UFO, no longer part of the no donut club. 3rd UFO, really no longer part of the no donut club.

As a freemium player Im thinking of getting a 60 Donut character with the free 60 I got today plus the 20 you get for finishing the Kang questline

## Replies

Randomness! From what I have seen, there is a 1% chance that each UFO awards a prize of 30 donuts. I'd say I'm averaging 3 ammo per day from the ray gun and treat bags, so for the full length of the event I can probably expect to shoot down around 100 UFOs.

Assuming that each UFO is independent of the ones before it, here are the probabilities of winning each possible number of donuts if a player shoots down 100 UFOs:

0 donuts: 36.6%

30 donuts: 37.0%

60 donuts: 18.5%

90 donuts: 6.1%

120 donuts: 1.5%

150 donuts: 0.3% (1 in 333 players will get this)

180 donuts: 0.05% (1 in 2000 players will get this)

Unfortunately I am still in the 0 donuts club...those who have won 6 times already should consider themselves extremely lucky!

Sounds about right if you don't have the ray gun. Ammo is quite rare as a treat bag prize, I'd say I'm getting about 1 a day from them on average - maybe 2 or 3 on a good day.

Thank you as I don't have that and did wonder if I was missing something

So what you're saying is I'm not lucky and donut-Jesus doesn't love me?

I'm still in the 0 donuts club too - does that make us the unlucky 36.6%?

I guess so! However I was fortunate to get 30 donuts this morning from an ammo I got from the treat bags I had been saving for Phase 3...so I am now a member of the 37%!

Unlikely though as seem to be getting 1 ammo every 2 days

EDIT: come on, no one out there is able to create a badge? (no, i'm not...)

As a freemium player Im thinking of getting a 60 Donut character with the free 60 I got today plus the 20 you get for finishing the Kang questline