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Anyone Else Winning $200K at Springfield Downs A LOT?

Ok. I'll give it a go...since all the Casinos in Springfield are CLOSED.

Replies

  • 74hands
    442 posts Member
    edited May 2016
    Hate to tell you this, but that does not mean you should win once a month or so. 99-1 are the odds against you winning each and every time you bet if you always bet on the 99-1 shot. They never reduce because you bet on the 99-1 dog every time. The fact you have won several times is nothing more than luck and coincidence.
    My choice for all my Tapped Out news and troll-free friendly chat is the EA officially approved Tapped Out UK :)
  • 1louisobyrne
    93 posts
    edited May 2016
    Errr, yes it means he should win once a month and a bit or so. I understand that at any given time your odds are 99-1, so after a loss, they do not become 98-1 but if you play 1000 times, you are likely to win around ten times.

    As for winning 3 times in four weeks (assuming 3 bets per day), that means you've won (... googles it...) 3.6% of the time when you should be winning 1% of the time. I'm no statistician, but that doesn't seem outrageously anomalous. It's a small sample size and you haven't been documenting exact number of plays (We'd need to verify that you aren't sleep-tapping).

    So yes, it's luck (pending a schooling from someone who's all up in the files/someone who passed statistics).
  • Johnny2bd
    671 posts Member
    edited May 2016
    Oddly enough I've started betting at the Downs again for the first time in six months. So far...I haven't won a single time (200k bets).
  • IckabodSchrek
    5919 posts Member
    edited May 2016
    Ok. First time up again I took the long shot and won 200k :D Fun! Thanks OP...will be trying that again!
    DeesToonTown in Crawl to the Finish #The Grumple Is Free!
  • Jetsonsclo700
    62 posts
    edited May 2016
    A little more frequently; but i dont bet it every time , like i used to. So now i win more frequently win i bet around.
  • Oatmeal832
    560 posts Member
    edited May 2016
    Ok. First time up again I took the long shot and won 200k :D Fun! Thanks OP...will be trying that again!

    I demand half of that $200,000!!! :mrgreen:
  • IckabodSchrek
    5919 posts Member
    edited May 2016
    Oatmeal832 wrote:
    Ok. First time up again I took the long shot and won 200k :D Fun! Thanks OP...will be trying that again!

    I demand half of that $200,000!!! :mrgreen:

    Ahhh, if only it were real :lol: ...or donuts :mrgreen:
    DeesToonTown in Crawl to the Finish #The Grumple Is Free!
  • notDepressed
    286 posts Member
    edited May 2016
    Not winning in-game but winning a lot more in-life. Life is good.
    RIP Tapped Out 2017 - It's Over Folks!
  • anaquarind
    1492 posts Member
    edited May 2016
    I'm on a lucky streak, but not with Springfield Downs. The Rocket is finally paying off for me. In my last 7 launches, I have gotten one mini-nuke, a Kang and a Kodos.
    Always looking to add active forum members! But please PM me first.
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