Value of betting at Springfield Downs and Go Karts
i like your numbers and not disputing what you are saying but...
fact is, that i have only won 1 time at the kart track playing 2-3x in a 24hr cycle every single day. it was the first or second race when introduced and since then-not one win no matter strategy or random color choice. Apparently im not alone, a thread the other day had others saying the same thing about their experience with the kart track. my odds have been nearly a 0:0 ratio :roll: (not sure if i got the ratio correct and correct me if im wrong but you get the point). i realize that its probably a glitch that some people have but not others
Downs success for me was much better though (havent played for a long time) but was right at your odds and ratios listed
fact is, that i have only won 1 time at the kart track playing 2-3x in a 24hr cycle every single day. it was the first or second race when introduced and since then-not one win no matter strategy or random color choice. Apparently im not alone, a thread the other day had others saying the same thing about their experience with the kart track. my odds have been nearly a 0:0 ratio :roll: (not sure if i got the ratio correct and correct me if im wrong but you get the point). i realize that its probably a glitch that some people have but not others
Downs success for me was much better though (havent played for a long time) but was right at your odds and ratios listed
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100 games is a game 3 times a day for 33 days. That's about $3k per day with the Downs and $15k per day on the Karts. Either way it looks like the Karts is a pretty good money maker.
I would say (but maybe shouldn't) about increasing your odds of winning, is to bet mainly on the 2-1 and then every once in a while bet on lower odds, like 99-1/49-1. I usually win 2-1 a few times in a row and then lose every so often, so instead of simply losing the 2-1 I can try to win/lose the 99-1/49-1. This claim isn't scientific like OP's.
i thought before the thread the other day that i was incredibly unlucky at the karts
literally 5 min after i posted this i was able to try again and WON :!: maybe i should buy a lotto ticket today
thats it, definitely getting a lotto ticket today, just won an Elder God from insanity cauldron but have always had average success with the cauldron game
(Do multipliers apply to Downs and Karts?)
I don't think so, we would have noticed if a 2.5 million win had a multiplier added on
I figured as much. Pity.
I won the 49-1 option my first game but not since then!
I go with the "long odds" choices for both. I'm level 689 and have $88 million, so the money/XP isn't really important.
On those rare occasions I win, it's more exciting. The net "profit" is irrelevant to me...
I think the return means the return on investment, or the profit you make after the costs are taken into account. i.e. playing the dogs or go-karts will make you money overall.
Eg, playing Go-Karts and using the 2-1 option:
Play 100 times, the total spent = $500,000 (100 x $5000)
Probability coded in the game apparently says you should win ~66 times out of 100
66 wins pays $990,000 (66 x $15,000)
- Return on investment over 100 games, or profit = $490,000 ($990,000 - $500,000)
Basically, it's just a really slow cash to XP converter? :?