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Is the Mystery Box rigged or am I just unlucky?
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Box 16 - Channel 6 News Van
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Ugh no more. All I wanted was another Lard Land or the equivalent of donuts for the items I already have which according to Simpsons Wiki was a 52% chance of receiving. It seems like it was a quickfire way for EA to offload certain premiums without making it completely fair for those that already have those available. Oh well I'm not wasting any more. So for anyone else considering doing what I've just done, save your donuts
I bought them both when they were first released. Was hoping to perhaps get the equivalent in donuts for them. Decided to round it off with an even 20 of Mystery Boxes. No prizes for what was in the box :P
Because I had read this on Simpsons Wiki:
(If the you have a unique item and it's chosen in the box, you'll get the amount of donuts it costs)
Seen as though everyone else was getting great success with the boxes I thought I was due a bit of luck. Naive I know now.
My understanding is this happens ONLY if it's a premium you can have ONE of
squeaky teen=donuts if you have him, Cuz you can only have one. Lard lads, new van and others= multiples of item
you'll always have three cheap items in a row, then two or three good (donuts or premium) items. This never changes, at least for me. I have a couple of feeder towns with some free given donuts saved ant tested it. All of them got both lawyer and Kearney, then it went like this:
For example
_onda, pond, kebab thing.... Antenna, billboard, tyre fire
then
shelter, pond, kebab thing... antenna, lard lad, ten donuts
then
_onda, pond, kebab thing ... antenna, billboard, thirty donuts (so far so good)
then
3 cheap items, antenna, billboard,
3 cheap items, antenna, billboard, lard lad.
Now it's getting worse, because the number of donuts decreasing and I know that 3 cheap items are coming.
so they are:
3 cheap items, antenna, billboard... and I am out of donuts.
It went similar to this in my other town where I had 90 donuts saved, I spent them all now.
It was always 3 cheap items in a row, so in my main town I stopped buying after getting the lawyer and a first
Lard Lad. I had had Kearney and SVT.
Hope someone can confirm this and also I hope this helps.
That's what I was aiming for. The so-called chance of finding SVT, Kearney, or Blue Haired Lawyer again but instead getting their value in donuts. Since the new Mystery Box came out almost everyone has been able to unlock these characters seemingly quite easy. I bought them all ages and ages ago so thought if everyone was having such easy luck finding them then I should have the same luck in finding more donuts. That doesn't seem to be true and it does look to in fact be rigged in such a way. Just a word of warning to anyone who like me tries to persist with obtaining donuts after the characters are unlocked to not bother anymore.
I read the same thing, that we would get the equivalent of whatever unique item we already had. I'm 99.99% certain now that this was either an error, or a feature that wasn't implemented. I've read through many posts on here, and have yet to see anyone post that they received 40 donuts (tire fire), 60 (Kearny) or 90 (BHL).
I'm in the same boat as you, I already owned Squeaky Voiced Teen, Blue-Haired Lawyer, Kearny and the Tire Fire. Bought them just before the Super-Hero event, sadly :P
That being said, I do have a number of feeder towns, and a HUGE majority of them received Channel 6 News Vans for their first free Mystery Box. So maybe there's something to this, and somehow the News Van has gotten set to a higher probability for certain people. I don't know how likely that is, but it does seem odd that you would get 11 News Vans out of 19 attempts.
To drumkvadrat:
I think your pattern is probably correct. I've only opened 7 (first free, weekly free, and 5 purchased) since this started, but it followed the same pattern.
Lard-Lad Donuts
Itchy and Scratchy Billboard
30 Donuts
Chalmers ONDA
Minnow Pond
KK stand
Channel 6 News Van
Next boxes: three bought, one free:
Bomb Shelter
Chalmers' _ONDA
News Van (which has a multiplier)
Khlav Khlash cart
Tire Fire
For the time being, I'm stopping there.
You're mistaken if you believe that you will get the value in donuts of a unique prize. No one has reported getting 40 donuts if they already had the Tire Fire, or 90 donuts if they had the BHL.
That said, you probably should have gotten 30 donuts or 10 donuts at least once, or another Lard Lad. :?
However, since they changed the boxes recently, my luck has been much better. The daily login box gave me 30 donuts. My first 30 donuts win, and then I spent 6 of them on another box to which I won Kearney (worth 60 donuts).
So from logging in 5 days in a row, I have essentially won 30 + 60 - 6 = 84 donuts worth. Not bad. Normally I would have probably won a green bin, or a white fence.
UPDATE:
After posting this, I fancied my luck and went for another three lucky boxes. I won the following;
Minnow Pond
Itchy and Scratchy Billboard (worth 40 donuts)
Blue Haired Lawyer (worth 90 donuts)!!
So.. carrying on. 84 donuts - 18 = 66 donuts.
66 donuts + 40 + 90 = 196 donuts worth from that single box for logging in 5 days in a row.
Very happy with the new system.