Hate to tell you this, but that does not mean you should win once a month or so. 99-1 are the odds against you winning each and every time you bet if you always bet on the 99-1 shot. They never reduce because you bet on the 99-1 dog every time. The fact you have won several times is nothing more than luck and coincidence.
My choice for all my Tapped Out news and troll-free friendly chat is the EA officially approved Tapped Out UK
Errr, yes it means he should win once a month and a bit or so. I understand that at any given time your odds are 99-1, so after a loss, they do not become 98-1 but if you play 1000 times, you are likely to win around ten times.
As for winning 3 times in four weeks (assuming 3 bets per day), that means you've won (... googles it...) 3.6% of the time when you should be winning 1% of the time. I'm no statistician, but that doesn't seem outrageously anomalous. It's a small sample size and you haven't been documenting exact number of plays (We'd need to verify that you aren't sleep-tapping).
So yes, it's luck (pending a schooling from someone who's all up in the files/someone who passed statistics).
I'm on a lucky streak, but not with Springfield Downs. The Rocket is finally paying off for me. In my last 7 launches, I have gotten one mini-nuke, a Kang and a Kodos.
Always looking to add active forum members! But please PM me first.
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As for winning 3 times in four weeks (assuming 3 bets per day), that means you've won (... googles it...) 3.6% of the time when you should be winning 1% of the time. I'm no statistician, but that doesn't seem outrageously anomalous. It's a small sample size and you haven't been documenting exact number of plays (We'd need to verify that you aren't sleep-tapping).
So yes, it's luck (pending a schooling from someone who's all up in the files/someone who passed statistics).
I demand half of that $200,000!!!
Ahhh, if only it were real