I've won it twice this week since deciding that it's the only one I'm going to bet on. Once on Tuesday and once today. I'm currently having a very bad streak on the scratch offs though.

Aren't anyone here ever thought of a pattern for the winner for every race? At times i've managed to win some money this way(including the jackpot). It's just it's hard to guess and observe a proper pattern. And when you think you already got the pattern, it changed. :shock:

Edit: managed to get some winning streaks with this idea. Maybe I'm really lucky or what?

Is it best to bet on a low return dog or the $200,000 one?

It depends on how much disposable income you have. If you're not pulling in that much per day (at a lower level in the game), you would probably want to go for the dogs with the better odds.

Playing the longshot, for me anyway, almost guarantees that I will be throwing away $2000. I'm at the top level right now, though, so it's no big deal for me.

Finally hit the jackpot today! The only thing was that I'm so used to not winning that I only looked at the results as I was hitting the "collect" button. So I didn't get the satisfaction of admiring the win for a few seconds.

I've been playing the Downs twice or three times per day since they dropped the cost of the bet. I always bet the long-shot and still haven't won. I don't even want to know how much money I've lost, but I can't bet anything other than the 99-1 until I win. You know who will win if I bet on a different dog...

Once, I was afraid to take a pic with my ipad because sometimes if you dont hit the home page button and close button in the right unison, the app closes, and I wanted my 200K!

Finally after about 30 times pressiing 99-1 odds hit the jackpot this morning..such a glorious achievement..I took a minute to admire the luck and took a picture. Though I have plenty of money, 200 k doesn't hurt my bank acct.

It's definitely best to have a strategy. Some people always bet on the same dog, some on the same odds. Here's my findings after analysing 54 races. @ $2000 per race ($108,000 spent)

Dog wins:
Obedience School Dropout - 14 (25.93% win ratio)
Not a Chance - 12 (22.22%)
Raised by Wolves - 11 (20.37%)
Drool Britannia - 10 (18.52%)
Dogbiscuit - 7 (12.96%)

If I had bet on the same dog each time, here's how much profit/loss I'd have made:

Obedience School Dropout: +$130,000
Not a Chance: +$182,000
Raised by Wolves: -$36,000
Drool Britannia: -$4,000
Dogbiscuit: -$12,000

Quite a difference !

Odds wins:
2 to 1 - 31 wins (57%)
5 to 1 - 15 wins (28%)
9 to 1 - 2 (3.7%)
19 to 1 - 5 (9.3%)
99 to 1 - 1 (1.9%)

If I had bet on the same odds each time, here's how much profit/loss I'd have made:

2 to 1: +$78,000
5 to 1: +$72,000
9 to 1: -$68,000 (minus)
19 to 1: +$92,000
99 to 1: +$92,000

Luckily I've kept track of the dogs at the odds and I can see patterns (in my game). For example Obedience School Dropout wins 87% of his races at 2 to 1 (7 wins from 8 ), 33% at 5 to 1 and 28% at 19 to 1. Not a Chance wins 40% at 5 to 1. Raised by Wolves is 67% at 2 to 1 but pretty low at the other odds. Dogbiscuit is a no hoper at most odds.

So given whichever dogs are at what odds I can relatively successfully 'predict' and play the odds so I'm actually +$218,000 in profit. That's only 13 wins from 54 but as time goes by I'll become more accurate (I started slowly). For example, I've predicted 4 of the last 6 races correctly.

Add to that the order of the dogs. There is a pattern in what order the dogs are displayed. If a dog wins at 2 to 1, then the next time all the dogs are at the same odds there seems to be a high chance the same dog will win. Due to the permutations I'll need more races to prove this works.

Then add the odds patterns. In my game it seems like the 19 to 1 odds wins every 8-10 races. After about 7 races since the previous win it's worth anticipating 19 to 1 coming in, in conjunction with what dogs are at what odds of course.

If you can spare a minute to record the odds/dogs and are interested in maximising your wins, and are perhaps a bit geeky about it, it's worth it. Works for me so far. After 100 races it might even out, but I suspect not. I'm sure you can use the dogs - it's not simply random.

After 121 races. @ $2000 per race ($242,000 spent, $446,000 won)

Dog wins:
Obedience School Dropout - 14 (25.93% win ratio) - Now 27 wins (22.3%)
Not a Chance - 12 (22.22%) - Now 22 wins (18.2%)
Raised by Wolves - 11 (20.37%) - Now 31 wins (25.6%)
Drool Britannia - 10 (18.52%) - Now 18 wins (14.9%)
Dogbiscuit - 7 (12.96%) - Now 24 wins (19%)

Odds wins:
2 to 1 - 31 wins (57%) - Now 65 (53.7%)
5 to 1 - 15 wins (28%) - Now 36 (29.7%)
9 to 1 - 2 (3.7%) - Now 9 (7.4%)
19 to 1 - 5 (9.3%) - Now 9 (7.4%)
99 to 1 - 1 (1.9%) - Now 2 (1.7%)

I didn't use my spreadsheet for about 50 races so I guessed instead of looking at any patterns, so in theory I should have more, but I'm still ahead...

## Replies

Edit: managed to get some winning streaks with this idea. Maybe I'm really lucky or what?

still never hit the jackpot. :x

It depends on how much disposable income you have. If you're not pulling in that much per day (at a lower level in the game), you would probably want to go for the dogs with the better odds.

Playing the longshot, for me anyway, almost guarantees that I will be throwing away $2000. I'm at the top level right now, though, so it's no big deal for me.

I'll continue to play and hope for another win.

Does seem like the big jackpot is really hard to win

EA Senior ModeratorDog wins:Obedience School Dropout - 14 (25.93% win ratio)

Not a Chance - 12 (22.22%)

Raised by Wolves - 11 (20.37%)

Drool Britannia - 10 (18.52%)

Dogbiscuit - 7 (12.96%)

If I had bet on the same dog each time, here's how much profit/loss I'd have made:

Obedience School Dropout: +$130,000

Not a Chance: +$182,000

Raised by Wolves: -$36,000

Drool Britannia: -$4,000

Dogbiscuit: -$12,000

Quite a difference !

Odds wins:2 to 1 - 31 wins (57%)

5 to 1 - 15 wins (28%)

9 to 1 - 2 (3.7%)

19 to 1 - 5 (9.3%)

99 to 1 - 1 (1.9%)

If I had bet on the same odds each time, here's how much profit/loss I'd have made:

2 to 1: +$78,000

5 to 1: +$72,000

9 to 1: -$68,000 (minus)

19 to 1: +$92,000

99 to 1: +$92,000

Luckily I've kept track of the dogs at the odds and I can see patterns (in my game). For example Obedience School Dropout wins 87% of his races at 2 to 1 (7 wins from 8 ), 33% at 5 to 1 and 28% at 19 to 1. Not a Chance wins 40% at 5 to 1. Raised by Wolves is 67% at 2 to 1 but pretty low at the other odds. Dogbiscuit is a no hoper at most odds.

So given whichever dogs are at what odds I can relatively successfully 'predict' and play the odds so I'm actually +$218,000 in profit. That's only 13 wins from 54 but as time goes by I'll become more accurate (I started slowly). For example, I've predicted 4 of the last 6 races correctly.

Add to that the order of the dogs. There is a pattern in what order the dogs are displayed. If a dog wins at 2 to 1, then the next time all the dogs are at the same odds there seems to be a high chance the same dog will win. Due to the permutations I'll need more races to prove this works.

Then add the odds patterns. In my game it seems like the 19 to 1 odds wins every 8-10 races. After about 7 races since the previous win it's worth anticipating 19 to 1 coming in, in conjunction with what dogs are at what odds of course.

If you can spare a minute to record the odds/dogs and are interested in maximising your wins, and are perhaps a bit geeky about it, it's worth it. Works for me so far. After 100 races it might even out, but I suspect not. I'm sure you can use the dogs - it's not simply random.

Dog wins:Obedience School Dropout - 14 (25.93% win ratio) - Now 27 wins (22.3%)

Not a Chance - 12 (22.22%) - Now 22 wins (18.2%)

Raised by Wolves - 11 (20.37%) - Now 31 wins (25.6%)

Drool Britannia - 10 (18.52%) - Now 18 wins (14.9%)

Dogbiscuit - 7 (12.96%) - Now 24 wins (19%)

Odds wins:2 to 1 - 31 wins (57%) - Now 65 (53.7%)

5 to 1 - 15 wins (28%) - Now 36 (29.7%)

9 to 1 - 2 (3.7%) - Now 9 (7.4%)

19 to 1 - 5 (9.3%) - Now 9 (7.4%)

99 to 1 - 1 (1.9%) - Now 2 (1.7%)

I didn't use my spreadsheet for about 50 races so I guessed instead of looking at any patterns, so in theory I should have more, but I'm still ahead...

Play twice a day, since the first one I hit, I've beat on the longshot EVERY time .