I've spun at least 30 times and have 71k, spent no donuts. I only need Claus Co., but I'm going spin until I win it. No donuts until the last days of this event.

Congrats I've convinced myself not to spend any donuts on the wheel and be thankful for whatever I do get from my daily spins. So far a few lights I didn't get last year and almost all the snow men, with the mr plow skin being the hilight. I'm loving this update!

Happy, happy, joy, joy for you! Perhaps tonight's the night all our luck will begin to change for the better. I just won Helter Shelter and 5 donuts on the Krusty Land balloon pop game. Lol, MissGrafin, you are our good luck charm, yes? Maybe? Hopefully?

Me too!! Finally managed to manipulate the wheel to spin where I want. Have been trying it for forever but could never quite get it to work till today.

Me too!! Finally managed to manipulate the wheel to spin where I want. Have been trying it for forever but could never quite get it to work till today.

How did you manipulate it? I've tried, but no matter what, it keeps landing on the money between the only two items I need (Yeti and Helter Shelter).

I just need Claus Co too but I'm not spending cash on donuts just to see them wasted. My last 8 spins have hit one of the three cash prizes. If Claus Co is offered for donuts then I might buy it but I suspect that the rigged wheel will make sure everyone has it by 7 Jan. Happy Christmas. :thumbup:

Awesome news for those who have completed! To those still waiting, good luck!!

I'll be honest, the donuts where spent before I realized that for every 1K after 30K and how easy it was to get a couple K a day that I jumped the proverbial gun..

I collected 17 spin tokens and then used them all at once. There were a few people claiming that the wheel isn't rigged, so I wanted to test that hypothesis.

The current state of my wheel has 3 spaces each containing a $1000 prize. Suppose the null hypothesis is that each of the 10 spaces is equally likely to be stopped on; i.e., there is a probability of p = 0.3 of getting the $1000 prize for any single turn. Then the alternative hypothesis is that the wheel is biased in some way, say p > 0.3 of getting the $1000 prize.

With a sample size of n = 17 coins, I got the following outcomes:

1000
1000
snow monster
50 gift card
1000
50 gift card
1000
Ice god
1000
Plow king
1000
1000
50 gift card
50 gift card
1000
1000
1000

As you can see, there were x = 10 occurrences of the $1000 prize out of the 17 spins. (Getting one of the desired prizes doesn't change the number of $1000 spaces--they are replaced by gift cards.) So, given that the wheel is fair, what is the probability that I observed an outcome at least this extreme by random chance? The p-value of this is approximately 0.0127, or 1.27%. In other words, it is very unlikely that the wheel is in fact unbiased, given my sample.

As I accumulate more tokens, I will update my testing. I suspect the p-value will get even smaller.

Incidentally, I have collected about 66800 gift cards. The only prize I am missing is ClausCo. :evil:

## Replies

Duely noted

Thanks!

How did you manipulate it? I've tried, but no matter what, it keeps landing on the money between the only two items I need (Yeti and Helter Shelter).

Same but over 66k cards.

I'll be honest, the donuts where spent before I realized that for every 1K after 30K and how easy it was to get a couple K a day that I jumped the proverbial gun..

Shoulda waited/read... Oh well.

The current state of my wheel has 3 spaces each containing a $1000 prize. Suppose the null hypothesis is that each of the 10 spaces is equally likely to be stopped on; i.e., there is a probability of p = 0.3 of getting the $1000 prize for any single turn. Then the alternative hypothesis is that the wheel is biased in some way, say p > 0.3 of getting the $1000 prize.

With a sample size of n = 17 coins, I got the following outcomes:

1000

1000

snow monster

50 gift card

1000

50 gift card

1000

Ice god

1000

Plow king

1000

1000

50 gift card

50 gift card

1000

1000

1000

As you can see, there were x = 10 occurrences of the $1000 prize out of the 17 spins. (Getting one of the desired prizes doesn't change the number of $1000 spaces--they are replaced by gift cards.) So, given that the wheel is fair, what is the probability that I observed an outcome at least this extreme by random chance? The p-value of this is approximately 0.0127, or 1.27%. In other words, it is very unlikely that the wheel is in fact unbiased, given my sample.

As I accumulate more tokens, I will update my testing. I suspect the p-value will get even smaller.

Incidentally, I have collected about 66800 gift cards. The only prize I am missing is ClausCo. :evil:

By the way, for odds etc, check out this thread http://forum.ea.com/eaforum/posts/list/9858581.page#31166452