I guess it's time to move up the leader board, 175,064 and still have Clausco.
Will be visiting my friends tonight so that number may be higher. :roll:
Pheew neighbour. I really feel for you. I gave up when I landed on 157,000 K and bought donuts (but that was before we knew the event would be extended). I will make sure to drop the daily 5 presents in your town.
Thanks a bunch. I may use donuts for more spins before the end of the event. If it wasn't Clausco, I wouldn't bother, but I want this building. Plus my feeder town had it early on and that is what is really bugging me!
I'm up to 46000 cards and the last 3 times I have hit the thousand mark it has failed to give me an extra spin token. What gives?
It's a glitch. SpAnser can fix it for you. (funny enough, I just bumped his thread about it, literally two minutes ago, so you should be able to find it.)
If anyone is ranking the top 10 I'd be curious to see the list! I'm at 145,000 and counting and still haven't cleared the wheel. Ugh!
The first post in this thread contains an updated top 10. You're currently at 7 because I'm assuming the other person with 145k has by now more cards. Of course, I might not know when other people finally clear the wheel or get more cards. Good luck!
If anyone is ranking the top 10 I'd be curious to see the list! I'm at 145,000 and counting and still haven't cleared the wheel. Ugh!
The first post in this thread contains an updated top 10. You're currently at 7 because I'm assuming the other person with 145k has by now more cards. Of course, I might not know when other people finally clear the wheel or get more cards. Good luck!
Thanks...I didn't see that. Thanks for posting. Good luck to you. I'll keep you updated. This isn't a contest I wanna win!
:-( after reading this thread I have now given up thinking I will clear this wheel.
I only have 68,780 tokens
two weeks of trying to get the last item "claus co" and spending 100 donuts makes me feel sad.
had a great time playing this theme, not sure which I liked more... wacking day, Halloween or Christmas
There was another post somewhere talking about how based on probabilities this is somewhat normal. A few will clear it earlier and a few will clear it later. This is for all players.
This forum is a subset of all players and especially this post you will tend to find more here that haven't cleared it.
I liked Halloween more as we got donuts for all our tapping and gremlin dropping efforts. I started after wacking day so don't know if it would rank higher for me.
Oh, and I just crossed 177,000 tickets and still nothing.
Now I have something to shoot for, I'm an outlier!
:-( after reading this thread I have now given up thinking I will clear this wheel.
I only have 68,780 tokens
two weeks of trying to get the last item "claus co" and spending 100 donuts makes me feel sad.
had a great time playing this theme, not sure which I liked more... wacking day, Halloween or Christmas
There was another post somewhere talking about how based on probabilities this is somewhat normal. A few will clear it earlier and a few will clear it later. This is for all players.
This forum is a subset of all players and especially this post you will tend to find more here that haven't cleared it.
I liked Halloween more as we got donuts for all our tapping and gremlin dropping efforts. I started after wacking day so don't know if it would rank higher for me.
Oh, and I just crossed 177,000 tickets and still nothing.
Now I have something to shoot for, I'm an outlier!
Exactly. I read in another thread that the odds for getting Claus Co are about 1% but that the total for all spots on the wheel actually exceeds 100%. For other spins, we might have won a prize with better odds that had priority over Claus Co. If I were still in my college stats class I could figure out the odds for going this long without a prize. Like you, I'll just assume that we are the outliers on the right side of the curve.
:-( after reading this thread I have now given up thinking I will clear this wheel.
I only have 68,780 tokens
two weeks of trying to get the last item "claus co" and spending 100 donuts makes me feel sad.
had a great time playing this theme, not sure which I liked more... wacking day, Halloween or Christmas
There was another post somewhere talking about how based on probabilities this is somewhat normal. A few will clear it earlier and a few will clear it later. This is for all players.
This forum is a subset of all players and especially this post you will tend to find more here that haven't cleared it.
I liked Halloween more as we got donuts for all our tapping and gremlin dropping efforts. I started after wacking day so don't know if it would rank higher for me.
Oh, and I just crossed 177,000 tickets and still nothing.
Now I have something to shoot for, I'm an outlier!
Exactly. I read in another thread that the odds for getting Claus Co are about 1% but that the total for all spots on the wheel actually exceeds 100%. For other spins, we might have won a prize with better odds that had priority over Claus Co. If I were still in my college stats class I could figure out the odds for going this long without a prize. Like you, I'll just assume that we are the outliers on the right side of the curve.
Probability of not having one particular prize:
(1 - "probability of prize" )^"no. of spins"
Chance of getting prize:
Clausco = 0.0156 (or 1.56%)
Snow Monster = 0.0168 (or 1.68%)
H Shelter = 0.0225 (or 2.25%)
Ice God = 0.0225 (or 2.25%)
Mr Plow = 0.0505 (or 5.05%)
Plow King = 0.0505 (or 5.05%) *Note: this one would be different, as relies on getting Mr Plow spun up first too. No. of spins would be ("total" - "no spins for Mr Plow" )*
Eg. For 150 spins, probability of not having a prize:
Clausco = 9.46%
Snow Monster = 7.88%
H Shelter = 3.29%
Ice God = 3.29%
Mr Plow/Plow King = 0.04%
200 spins:
Clausco = 4.31%
Snow Monster = 3.38%
H Shelter = 1.06%
Ice God = 1.06%
Mr Plow/Plow King = effectively 0%
Probability of not having one particular prize:
(1 - "probability of prize" )^"no. of spins"
Chance of getting prize:
Clausco = 0.0156 (or 1.56%)
Snow Monster = 0.0168 (or 1.68%)
H Shelter = 0.0225 (or 2.25%)
Ice God = 0.0225 (or 2.25%)
Mr Plow = 0.0505 (or 5.05%)
Plow King = 0.0505 (or 5.05%) *Note: this one would be different, as relies on getting Mr Plow spun up first too. No. of spins would be ("total" - "no spins for Mr Plow" )*
Eg. For 150 spins, probability of not having a prize:
Clausco = 9.46%
Snow Monster = 7.88%
H Shelter = 3.29%
Ice God = 3.29%
Mr Plow/Plow King = 0.04%
200 spins:
Clausco = 4.31%
Snow Monster = 3.38%
H Shelter = 1.06%
Ice God = 1.06%
Mr Plow/Plow King = effectively 0%
Thank you, Professor Frink! So I'm estimating I have 171 tokens from gift cards, 35 from the Egg Nog Bar and 6 bonus tokens. I'm sitting at approximately 3.57% chance of not winning. Nice.
Just cleared the wheel today. 111,000. I would save up my coins in bulk then spin. I had Helter Shelter, snow god, yeti, & Claus co left. Last week I had 26 coins and used them all and got Helter Shelter and Snow God. Today I had saved up 30 coins and took 25 of them to get Claus co and yeti.
Replies
Thanks a bunch. I may use donuts for more spins before the end of the event. If it wasn't Clausco, I wouldn't bother, but I want this building. Plus my feeder town had it early on and that is what is really bugging me!
Even though my wheel has landed on Claus Co. and I was given money instead.
Congrats! I was really hoping to take the top slot.
The first post in this thread contains an updated top 10. You're currently at 7 because I'm assuming the other person with 145k has by now more cards. Of course, I might not know when other people finally clear the wheel or get more cards. Good luck!
I only have 68,780 tokens
two weeks of trying to get the last item "claus co" and spending 100 donuts makes me feel sad.
had a great time playing this theme, not sure which I liked more... wacking day, Halloween or Christmas
Thanks...I didn't see that. Thanks for posting. Good luck to you. I'll keep you updated. This isn't a contest I wanna win!
I am starting to get fed up... Wish me good luck
Only needing the shelter......annoying
There was another post somewhere talking about how based on probabilities this is somewhat normal. A few will clear it earlier and a few will clear it later. This is for all players.
This forum is a subset of all players and especially this post you will tend to find more here that haven't cleared it.
I liked Halloween more as we got donuts for all our tapping and gremlin dropping efforts. I started after wacking day so don't know if it would rank higher for me.
Oh, and I just crossed 177,000 tickets and still nothing.
Now I have something to shoot for, I'm an outlier!
Exactly. I read in another thread that the odds for getting Claus Co are about 1% but that the total for all spots on the wheel actually exceeds 100%. For other spins, we might have won a prize with better odds that had priority over Claus Co. If I were still in my college stats class I could figure out the odds for going this long without a prize. Like you, I'll just assume that we are the outliers on the right side of the curve.
Look on the bright side, you're now in the Wheel of Futility Top Ten! Good luck getting off.
(1 - "probability of prize" )^"no. of spins"
Chance of getting prize:
Clausco = 0.0156 (or 1.56%)
Snow Monster = 0.0168 (or 1.68%)
H Shelter = 0.0225 (or 2.25%)
Ice God = 0.0225 (or 2.25%)
Mr Plow = 0.0505 (or 5.05%)
Plow King = 0.0505 (or 5.05%) *Note: this one would be different, as relies on getting Mr Plow spun up first too. No. of spins would be ("total" - "no spins for Mr Plow" )*
Eg. For 150 spins, probability of not having a prize:
Clausco = 9.46%
Snow Monster = 7.88%
H Shelter = 3.29%
Ice God = 3.29%
Mr Plow/Plow King = 0.04%
200 spins:
Clausco = 4.31%
Snow Monster = 3.38%
H Shelter = 1.06%
Ice God = 1.06%
Mr Plow/Plow King = effectively 0%
I haven't cleared the wheel and I am at 145880.
Thank you, Professor Frink! So I'm estimating I have 171 tokens from gift cards, 35 from the Egg Nog Bar and 6 bonus tokens. I'm sitting at approximately 3.57% chance of not winning. Nice.
Thanks! I've put you in your rightful spot at #7. Hope you don't spend much time there.