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Valentines Day wheel thread!
Results of the Monte Carlo Simulation:
Spins Clearance Rate
11 0.02%
12 0.15%
13 0.53%
14 1.12%
15 2.25%
16 3.58%
17 5.46%
18 8.08%
19 10.59%
20 13.67%
21 17.06%
22 20.78%
23 24.35%
24 28.06%
25 31.85%
26 35.92%
27 39.55%
28 43.07%
29 46.51%
30 50.23%
31 53.43%
32 56.44%
33 59.56%
34 62.17%
35 64.84%
36 67.11%
37 69.35%
38 71.44%
39 73.41%
40 75.22%
41 77.03%
42 78.67%
43 80.03%
44 81.51%
45 82.79%
46 84.19%
47 85.07%
48 86.10%
49 87.16%
50 87.95%
51 88.60%
52 89.30%
53 89.99%
54 90.57%
55 91.12%
56 91.59%
57 92.12%
58 92.50%
59 92.97%
60 93.35%
61 93.77%
62 94.18%
63 94.52%
64 94.76%
65 95.06%
66 95.33%
67 95.65%
68 95.98%
69 96.25%
70 96.50%
71 96.82%
72 96.95%
73 97.15%
74 97.26%
75 97.42%
76 97.50%
77 97.60%
78 97.73%
79 97.85%
80 97.94%
81 98.09%
82 98.17%
83 98.28%
84 98.36%
85 98.41%
86 98.50%
87 98.59%
88 98.65%
89 98.69%
90 98.73%
91 98.80%
92 98.92%
93 98.99%
94 99.02%
95 99.06%
96 99.15%
97 99.19%
98 99.21%
99 99.24%
100 99.26%
101 99.34%
102 99.37%
103 99.40%
104 99.46%
105 99.47%
106 99.49%
107 99.51%
108 99.56%
109 99.58%
110 99.62%
111 99.67%
112 99.70%
113 99.71%
114 99.75%
115 99.76%
117 99.77%
119 99.80%
121 99.81%
122 99.82%
123 99.84%
125 99.85%
126 99.86%
127 99.87%
128 99.88%
129 99.89%
130 99.90%
131 99.91%
135 99.92%
139 99.93%
150 99.94%
152 99.95%
153 99.96%
157 99.97%
162 99.98%
174 99.99%
189 100.00%
Spins Clearance Rate
11 0.02%
12 0.15%
13 0.53%
14 1.12%
15 2.25%
16 3.58%
17 5.46%
18 8.08%
19 10.59%
20 13.67%
21 17.06%
22 20.78%
23 24.35%
24 28.06%
25 31.85%
26 35.92%
27 39.55%
28 43.07%
29 46.51%
30 50.23%
31 53.43%
32 56.44%
33 59.56%
34 62.17%
35 64.84%
36 67.11%
37 69.35%
38 71.44%
39 73.41%
40 75.22%
41 77.03%
42 78.67%
43 80.03%
44 81.51%
45 82.79%
46 84.19%
47 85.07%
48 86.10%
49 87.16%
50 87.95%
51 88.60%
52 89.30%
53 89.99%
54 90.57%
55 91.12%
56 91.59%
57 92.12%
58 92.50%
59 92.97%
60 93.35%
61 93.77%
62 94.18%
63 94.52%
64 94.76%
65 95.06%
66 95.33%
67 95.65%
68 95.98%
69 96.25%
70 96.50%
71 96.82%
72 96.95%
73 97.15%
74 97.26%
75 97.42%
76 97.50%
77 97.60%
78 97.73%
79 97.85%
80 97.94%
81 98.09%
82 98.17%
83 98.28%
84 98.36%
85 98.41%
86 98.50%
87 98.59%
88 98.65%
89 98.69%
90 98.73%
91 98.80%
92 98.92%
93 98.99%
94 99.02%
95 99.06%
96 99.15%
97 99.19%
98 99.21%
99 99.24%
100 99.26%
101 99.34%
102 99.37%
103 99.40%
104 99.46%
105 99.47%
106 99.49%
107 99.51%
108 99.56%
109 99.58%
110 99.62%
111 99.67%
112 99.70%
113 99.71%
114 99.75%
115 99.76%
117 99.77%
119 99.80%
121 99.81%
122 99.82%
123 99.84%
125 99.85%
126 99.86%
127 99.87%
128 99.88%
129 99.89%
130 99.90%
131 99.91%
135 99.92%
139 99.93%
150 99.94%
152 99.95%
153 99.96%
157 99.97%
162 99.98%
174 99.99%
189 100.00%
0
This discussion has been closed.
Howdy, Stranger!
Replies
I got Lovely Gazebo, Choo-Choo-Choose train (duplicate for me), Bird bath, and 2 others. All I know is I had 7/10 when I left the wheel and got 5 unique items, 1 train (that I had from last year) and the Pond was lit up since I had that from last year. So I'm already 7/10 after 6 spins - so I think I may have a solid chance of clearing it with little spins.
Spins Clearance Rate
9 0.05%
10 0.33%
11 0.96%
12 2.25%
13 4.08%
14 6.67%
15 9.59%
16 12.96%
17 16.93%
18 21.15%
19 25.69%
20 30.34%
21 34.89%
22 39.67%
23 43.89%
24 47.72%
25 51.82%
26 55.88%
27 59.45%
28 62.87%
29 66.03%
30 69.04%
31 71.94%
32 74.50%
33 76.87%
34 79.03%
35 80.86%
36 82.70%
37 84.49%
38 86.10%
39 87.53%
40 88.74%
41 89.74%
42 90.80%
43 91.75%
44 92.60%
45 93.47%
46 94.11%
47 94.87%
48 95.28%
49 95.76%
50 96.25%
51 96.58%
52 96.93%
53 97.26%
54 97.53%
55 97.74%
56 97.98%
57 98.17%
58 98.35%
59 98.52%
60 98.74%
61 98.84%
62 98.96%
63 99.05%
64 99.16%
65 99.23%
66 99.30%
67 99.37%
68 99.44%
69 99.49%
70 99.55%
71 99.58%
72 99.63%
73 99.69%
74 99.73%
75 99.77%
76 99.79%
77 99.81%
78 99.86%
80 99.87%
81 99.88%
82 99.90%
83 99.92%
85 99.94%
87 99.95%
91 99.97%
92 99.98%
94 99.99%
97 100.00%
Im sure your all aware of the amount of threads relating to the Xmas update wheel and how forum members were becoming irritated.
So hopefully this works out to the benifit of the community and people can enjoy reading different topics
Thanks
Good to know we can have duplicates. I'd like 2 trains side by side.
it will come after that
Nothing on the wheel is replaced/removed. There's a white heart behind all 10 prizes. When you have at least 1 of them, it is lit WHITE. So if you are missing an item, it's not lit up till you win it the first time.
Yep, all prizes can be duplicated (no unique prizes). Nothing on the wheel is removed or replaced. There's a heart behind the prize that lights up if you won it.
Can't spin it until you complete Part 1 of the story. Which is to grow a Rose Bush at the Farm. When that completes, the wheel is unlocked.