Chances next update includes land

botiacelli8 · August 11, 2014 9:00PM

I like people with a positive outlook, because I certainly don't have one - generally speaking. And I say giving new land a 75% chance is very positive indeed.

I look at it this way - there's been what? 58 updates, and one has included new land for SF. The chances of the next upcoming update or any particular update including new land are exceedingly small if the past is any indication. Because EA has only added land once, it makes it difficult to guess what kind of timeline is reasonable to expect another new land drop.

Thusly, I voted zero percent.

mikeydluffy · August 11, 2014 10:27PM

25%. Thought I'd be optimistic

mwdalton · August 11, 2014 11:15PM

amcevil wrote:

I like people with a positive outlook, because I certainly don't have one - generally speaking. And I say giving new land a 75% chance is very positive indeed.

I look at it this way - there's been what? 58 updates, and one has included new land for SF. The chances of the next upcoming update or any particular update including new land are exceedingly small if the past is any indication. Because EA has only added land once, it makes it difficult to guess what kind of timeline is reasonable to expect another new land drop.

Thusly, I voted zero percent.

Saying that there's a 0% chance is just as silly as saying there's a 100% chance. I voted 50%, it could go either way.

teo47 · August 11, 2014 11:19PM

I voted for zero...while the chance obviously isn't exactly zero, I'd say it's closer to that than to 25%.

neuroheart · August 11, 2014 11:24PM

mwdalton wrote:

amcevil wrote:

58 updates, and one has included new land for SF. The chances of the next upcoming update or any particular update including new land are exceedingly small if the past is any indication.
...
Thusly, I voted zero percent.

Saying that there's a 0% chance is just as silly as saying there's a 100% chance. I voted 50%, it could go either way.

Well, 1 out of 58 would give it a 0.017% chance, which is close enough to zero to make no difference. (Neglecterino or some other math guy can correct me if I'm wrong.)

teo47 · August 11, 2014 11:28PM

neuroheart wrote:

mwdalton wrote:

amcevil wrote:

58 updates, and one has included new land for SF. The chances of the next upcoming update or any particular update including new land are exceedingly small if the past is any indication.
...
Thusly, I voted zero percent.

Saying that there's a 0% chance is just as silly as saying there's a 100% chance. I voted 50%, it could go either way.

Well, 1 out of 58 would give it a 0.017% chance, which is close enough to zero to make no difference. (Neglecterino or some other math guy can correct me if I'm wrong.)

1.7%, not 0.017% which is 1 in 5800!

mwdalton · August 11, 2014 11:35PM

Even a 1% chance is closer to a 25% chance than a 0% chance is, in terms of the event actually happening.

Source: Probability.

dhlennon · August 11, 2014 11:41PM

You have ignored the possibility there will be LESS land!

NOVA_POLARI · August 12, 2014 1:06AM

I voted 25% chance because technically there is a chance for anything to happen no matter how unlikely.

amcevil · August 12, 2014 1:35AM

mwdalton wrote:

Even a 1% chance is closer to a 25% chance than a 0% chance is, in terms of the event actually happening.

Source: Probability.

There was no option between 0 and 25, so I took the lower one. I don't think that's silly.

NeoSEC28 · August 12, 2014 2:19AM

As much as i would love some extra land i find highly unlikely we will get any on the next update

But guess we can all hope

Dotcom180 · August 12, 2014 3:13AM

No one needs land anymore, especially after they shrunken the Helter Shelter!

mwdalton · August 12, 2014 3:17AM

amcevil wrote:

mwdalton wrote:

Even a 1% chance is closer to a 25% chance than a 0% chance is, in terms of the event actually happening.

Source: Probability.

There was no option between 0 and 25, so I took the lower one. I don't think that's silly.

0% in this context means 'impossible'. Which, with the lack of foreknowledge we have on future content updates, is just as silly as saying there is a 100% chance, (or that it's certain).

NeoSEC28 · August 12, 2014 3:19AM

Dotcom180 wrote:

No one needs land anymore, especially after they shrunken the Helter Shelter!

If land is available then i want it :P The more land we have the more we can design better

NeoSEC28 · August 12, 2014 3:21AM

mwdalton wrote:

amcevil wrote:

mwdalton wrote:

Even a 1% chance is closer to a 25% chance than a 0% chance is, in terms of the event actually happening.

Source: Probability.

There was no option between 0 and 25, so I took the lower one. I don't think that's silly.

0% in this context means 'impossible'. Which, with the lack of foreknowledge we have on future content updates, is just as silly as saying there is a 100% chance, (or that it's certain).

I voted 0% :P as i dont believe we will get land on the next update, but generally when i say something wont happen it normally does so i', playing the odds in hope we will actually get some land

LPNintendoITA · August 12, 2014 3:32AM

2 strips were found in the files two updates ago

NeoSEC28 · August 12, 2014 3:45AM

LPNintendoITA wrote:

2 strips were found in the files two updates ago

Very true, but that does mean it will be added with the next update or will it?

or will they keep us waiting for another year

I know you dont know the answer was just saying :P

kevfd · August 12, 2014 5:18AM

amcevil wrote:

I like people with a positive outlook, because I certainly don't have one - generally speaking. And I say giving new land a 75% chance is very positive indeed.

I look at it this way - there's been what? 58 updates, and one has included new land for SF. The chances of the next upcoming update or any particular update including new land are exceedingly small if the past is any indication. Because EA has only added land once, it makes it difficult to guess what kind of timeline is reasonable to expect another new land drop.

Thusly, I voted zero percent.

EA have implied they will be releasing more land some time this year...

boldbhoy · August 12, 2014 5:29AM

I think if we have land it is unlikely to be in the main Springfield. There are still way too many people complaining of instability and extra land can only make matters worse. EA won't want to risk making their reputation worse. I can see further Squidport and Krustyland development being more likely.

XsizterX · August 12, 2014 5:31AM

yeah but we had an krustyland update already

ZennGlenn · August 12, 2014 6:54AM

neuroheart wrote:

mwdalton wrote:

amcevil wrote:

58 updates, and one has included new land for SF. The chances of the next upcoming update or any particular update including new land are exceedingly small if the past is any indication.
...
Thusly, I voted zero percent.

Saying that there's a 0% chance is just as silly as saying there's a 100% chance. I voted 50%, it could go either way.

Well, 1 out of 58 would give it a 0.017% chance, which is close enough to zero to make no difference. (Neglecterino or some other math guy can correct me if I'm wrong.)

Well, maybe 25% :roll:

Chances next update includes land

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