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mega8deth8's avatar
mega8deth8
Seasoned Adventurer
1 year ago
Solved

Player packs

So I have a screenshot of the odds and a video of the opening which I'll post if I'm not believed. I just opened 25 player packs with the odds of a purple being 29%. So roughly 3/10 packs should have a purple card. I should have opened around 6-9 purples. I got 1. I'm no math major EA but that's not even in the ballpark!! Sick of these stingy packs. This year is almost over, load them up and let's have actual fun til 25 comes out. 

  • @mega8deth8 

    The odds are per pack. Not per 10 packs. There is a 29% chance with each pack that you'll get a purple.

4 Replies

  • EA_Aljo's avatar
    EA_Aljo
    Icon for Community Manager rankCommunity Manager
    1 year ago

    @mega8deth8 

    The odds are per pack. Not per 10 packs. There is a 29% chance with each pack that you'll get a purple.

  • mega8deth8's avatar
    mega8deth8
    Seasoned Adventurer
    1 year ago

    @EA_Aljo wrote:

    @mega8deth8 

    The odds are per pack. Not per 10 packs. There is a 29% chance with each pack that you'll get a purple.


    You're not a math major either. If I have a 29% chance of pulling a purple in EACH pack, then mathematically that means I should see a purple every 3-4 packs. Mathematically. 3/10 per pack is equal to 3/10 packs. They are the same odds. NOW if someone is full of BS like say EA, they would say something like your answer. I apologize for the saltiness but man excuses are just infuriating. The odds are a sham, bottom-line.  If I open 50 packs I should see at least a dozen and become more accurate the more packs you open. That's the math

  • EA_Aljo's avatar
    EA_Aljo
    Icon for Community Manager rankCommunity Manager
    1 year ago

    @mega8deth8 

    That's really not how it works. You have a 29% chance per pack. You could pull a purple in every pack or you could never pull one. Opening more packs gives you more chances, but it doesn't raise the probabilities since those are set at 29% for each pack. This doesn't mean that every 3 - 4 packs you are guaranteed to receive a purple.

    I agree that statistically it's low that you'd get 1 in 25 packs, but it's most certainly not impossible and doesn't signify there's a problem.

  • hondajackson's avatar
    hondajackson
    Rising Novice
    1 year ago

    Odds of one or worse purples through 25 players packs with stated odds is 0.0269%, or 1 in 3713, for reference.

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