Forum Discussion
11 years ago
obake-odori wrote:
That is killer! I could never bring myself to gamble on a Homer Buddha.
And THAT is a very wise decision!
I don't know why I even did this, and I can definitely not suggest to do it! I guess I was just a little bit excited of my new "richness" and just wanted to try it. A little bit like with a one-armed bandit or so... No real reason for it, just for fun...
HOWEVER: I made some calculation, based on the %-numbers presented on several sites and found out that the Homer Buddhas are not as bad as they appear - at least if you look at them on a purely donut-exchange perspective.
Do you know the term "expected value"? It basically expresses, what kind of value you can expect if you do a certain action like in an 'unlimited' amount.
Here it comes: the expected value for a Homer Buddha ist 16,17!
That means, you will get 16,17 donuts out of a Buddha (in terms of items) while just paying 15 donuts for it. So, in the long run, you get more donuts (mostly bond into items) out of it than you invest. My calculation is shown here:
https://imagizer.imageshack.us/v2/903x360q90/199/jb7u.JPG
I hope you understand what I did there. I made a seperate calculation for the Mystery box, since you get a Mystery box out of a Buddha in 9,983% as well.
So by the sheer numbers, the Homer Buddha is actually not THAT bad.
There is just one BIG downside to it!
You don't get the donuts, but mostly returning items instead (except for multiple premium buildings or characters. Then you'll get the donut cost worth of it. Same for the straight donus, of course. Otherwise you just get benches, trees, fence and such). You certainly don't need 10k fences or 2k benches and so on. So that is why you don't want to waste too much donuts into that. Plus: some items are not worth the donuts in your personal opinion and you wouldn't buy it straight.
But, as I said, from the sheer value of donuts, the Buddha is kind of a good deal.
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