Can anyone confirm my math here?
What you are saying is absolutely correct.
As far as strategy goes, it all comes down to what you are most interested in. If your goal is exclusively Gold Box items, then your odds are best if you trade in all of your common eggs for uncommon eggs, as in the end, you will receive a significantly higher number of gold eggs.
That being said, your odds for your uncommon box items are lower than your odds for the common box items. So, you will end up with fewer chances at a box that gives you worse odds. If you are interested in the items in your common box, then you would be better off just attacking those first and then switching over if/when you get them all.
Granted, neither of these strategies results in you having any chance of getting all the items without spending like a thousand donuts...but i digress...
As far as strategy goes, it all comes down to what you are most interested in. If your goal is exclusively Gold Box items, then your odds are best if you trade in all of your common eggs for uncommon eggs, as in the end, you will receive a significantly higher number of gold eggs.
That being said, your odds for your uncommon box items are lower than your odds for the common box items. So, you will end up with fewer chances at a box that gives you worse odds. If you are interested in the items in your common box, then you would be better off just attacking those first and then switching over if/when you get them all.
Granted, neither of these strategies results in you having any chance of getting all the items without spending like a thousand donuts...but i digress...
