My Prize Box Odds/Results after 35 Boxes
yeah it's totally weird
Forum Discussion
crosby357 wrote:
It is BS. Here's a copy-paste from reddit user Dove_Of_Doom about this event.
-
According to an article on TSTOTopix, to be guaranteed all the prizes available in all three boxes you have to buy at least 81 of each box. At 500 eggs per box that means you have to collect up to 40,500 eggs of each color. That's right. 40,500 blue eggs and 40,500 pink eggs and 40,500 golden eggs.
But wait, there's more. To collect golden eggs you have to win them in blue and pink boxes, and the most you can win from a box is 300. You have a roughly 50% chance of winning 300 golden eggs from appropriately colored boxes, and it would take 135 wins to collect 40,500 gold eggs. That means it would take roughly 270 boxes which would cost 135,000 eggs of the color that is actually rarer and harder for you to acquire. You will also win golden eggs in increments of 100 from the other colored boxes roughly 50% of the time, and I rounded up those odds to simplify the math, so these numbers are admittedly approximate. The likelihood of winning golden eggs in either increment is actually 45%, slightly worse. It's also technically possible to win everything much sooner, but the odds of landing on the unique prizes are as low as 2%. To be absolutely sure you get all the golden prizes you will need a ridiculous amount of eggs.
I think these numbers demonstrate what a losing proposition playing this event without spending money is meant to be. Previous events made an effort to balance premium content with free content, and the prizes could be won through diligent play alone. Not this time. What we get with Easter is a campaign to gouge players, and it is not fair to anyone.
EDIT: Including today, April 17, you would have to average 5,000 rare colored eggs a day to collect the 135,000 needed to win enough golden eggs to ensure you win all golden prizes.
-
Ridiculous.
Woah! :shock: I wanted a better perspective on the odds but holy crap that's bad!
After seeing this, I'd be complaining even if I was a generous premium player! I guess hackers are gonna have fun with this update lol
