I'm irritated at all these people saying the event's easy. I think there's something up with the event if some people can finish so many days early and some of us aren't expecting to see it come near completion. Bonus level ups shouldn't be easier than the last event unlock.
My neighbors' bears don't give pacifiers (at all), and much of the time my town doesn't even have bears to tap. I play more than I will admit and I'm not even to 23K pacifiers yet. All I know is that I'm not likely to spend 200 donuts on Gerald. :P
Hell, I've spent a couple hours straight doing Heights tasks (wondering if maybe they weren't spawning with the game in the background or something) and never saw a single bear show up in my town in that time. If it's not even one bear per two hours, it's no wonder I never seem to have bears to tap.