Re: Ability drops in packs

Thanks for the explanation.  I'm wondering if it's not as random as we might all think. I've noticed some nights while playing garden ops I would get an enchanted garden several times in a row. It seemed like once you got into this scenario you'd get enchanted gardens as long as you kept playing. The same went for sticker packs. If I opened the 35k packs and received a character piece. In the next several packs sometimes I received the same pieces to complete the character. It didn't seem random at all. It seems like it's more about timing and situation that gets you certain things. You just have to figure out the proper situation. I might be totally wrong about this. It just seems like what I've experienced so far. 

I've invested about a thousand hours in the game and have spent tens of millions on various Sticker Packs and there has been no pattern to any of randomly determined sequences, although it is certainly human nature to try to assign a pattern to what is actually a random sequence of events

Most likely what you are observing is just a random sequence which seems to form a pattern; such as when you toss a coin and receive "Heads" multiple times in a row.

There's a mindset which can creep in here which is called the "Gambler's Fallacy", in which the observer assumes that because a random event keeps repeating future behavior must act to "balance" out the results; there is also the "Inverse Gambler's Fallacy" in which the observer assumes that because a random event keeps repeating it will somehow continue to repeat because some higher power has decided to favor it.

The Gamblers Fallacy is also called the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" after a notorious event which occurred in a Monte Carlo casino in the early 1900's where a roulette wheel stopped on black more than two dozen times in a row through simple random chance leading to gamblers losing record amounts of money by repeatedly betting on red believing that the the more black outcomes happened the more a red outcome was "due".

Thank you for that info it's interesting. I do think there is some bug where you do get consistently enchanted gardens in a row. It did seem like the character pieces went in succession to complete certain characters. You're right it could have just been perceived that way. I have no proof and I'm damn well not going to start all over again to try to prove it. 

I found this kind of funny. I bought 6 35k packs with some coins I had and then randomly bought a 15k pack. I received an ability from the 15k pack. 

I've been thinking about going to the 15K for a while, guess I'll try it.