[DISCUSS + FAQ] Clash of Clones

For consideration...

Attack random town 5 times, one castle and 4 houses.
Win: 140+4*70=420 E
50+4*25=150 G
Lose: 10+4*5=30 E
2+4*2=10 G

Attack friend town 5 times, one castle and 4 houses.
Win: 25+4*18=97 E
10+4*8=42 G
Lose: 10+4*5=30 E
2+4*1=6 G

Defending 5 attacks, one castle and 4 houses.
Win: 5*20=100 E
5*10=50 G
Lose: 5*10=50 E
5*5=25 G

So with a friend you can reciprocate with:
Reciprocal win attack/lose defense: (97+50 E, 42+25 G) = (147 E, 67 G)
Reciprocal lose attack/win defense: (30+100 E, 6+50 G) = (130 E, 56 G)
Reciprocal win attack/win defense: (97+100 E,42+50 G) = (197 E, 92 G)
Reciprocal lose attack/lose defense: (30+50 E, 6+25 G) = ( 80 E, 31 G)

Attacking a random town seems like a gamble for a win, and I'd rather spend my nerds on my friends. Assuming I'm not in direct communication with the friend, then in the same time zone I think that the second reciprocal (lose attack/win defense) is most likely. In different time zones, perhaps win attack/lose defense.

What do you think?