Re: What are the chances of you getting an heirloom in Apex Legends?

I just saw this:

https://www.sportskeeda.com/esports/apex-legends-chances-getting-heirloom-shards#:~:text=Like%20the%20Heirloom%20gear%20before,in%20500%20chance%20to%20drop. 

Apparantly it's a 1 in 500 chance (so that's .2%).  I don't know if this is true, they may be assuming that as you get one after 500 this is how it works (It's not an EA source webpage).

Less than .5% but higher than I thought.

Anyone have any actual hard evidence on the odds?  I've seen claims but not where people are getting these values from.

- DR