I'm sorry if what I wrote before didn't seem very clear... but I do understand and I did address that very problem. Let me summarize and make clear what I said.
The three cards you can choose mean nothing. All three of those cards are the same answer. The answer is selected by random sampling... aka, chance. I do not know exactly when the random sampling takes place, however I would guess that it is directly after the race. So the random sampling takes place, gets an answer, and you pick that answer no matter what card you pick. Simple as that.
So then you say, well why doesn't the answer change after I download the save and try again?
The answer doesn't change because you haven't changed the input. (Highlight that word.... INPUT!) The input is the key to changing the output. The answer is a dependent variable. The input is an independent variable. If you change the input, than you will change the output. (Super simple but kind of stupid example: 1+1=2 ... well, lets change the input from 1 to 2... 1+2=3 ... now lets change something else in the input... 1x1=1) This doesn't explain why the game is chance... but it does explain how a calculator, or even a human, does random sampling.
Ok, since this is long, lets summarize what we have so far. 3 cards mean nothing. Answer comes from Random sampling. The random answer doesn't change because it was given the same input. Ya with me camera guy? (Salute to Sham wow... haha)
So then, what makes Random Sampling a game of chance?
Random Sampling is a game of chance because you get a random, unpredictable result. Technology these days lets us see that result and put in the exact same input into a random sampling, allowing us to see that result and get it again and again. The result is still random, however, because we can put in the EXACT SAME INPUT, we'll get the EXACT SAME RESULT!
Now this is where I think I lost you.... What you're thinking is... THEN IT'S NOT A GAME OF CHANCE IF YOU CAN PREDICT THE ANSWER SHERLOCK! Haha, if you already shouted that before you read it, than I hope you enjoyed a laugh.
So, in order for me to prove to you that it is still considered a game of chance, lets compare it to a game of chance and let me explain to you what great superpower technology has given us.
Rolling the dice is a game of chance correct? You roll the dice, get a 3 and a 4, and say, "My good sir, THAT is a game of chance... completely random." Now, you cannot physically replay that moment of your life, but if you could, and you did everything EXACTLY like before, you would get the same numbers, 3 and 4.
This is the exact same phenomenon that is happening in the video game. It's called Time-travel. (You know, going back in time and experiencing everything exactly the way it happened all over again.) Computers allow us to experience time-travel.... crazy right? So my question to you then, is rolling the dice still considered a game of chance? (Well, by the standards of the world... yes, it is a game of chance.) (Is it a game of chance when you travel back in time and do everything the same.... knowing the result all along? Not anymore it isn't.)
Ok ok, so what are you saying exactly? I am saying that, unless you change the imput, in this game and also with anything in life, you will get the same exact output. Nothing will change. It is a game of chance when you do not know the answer. However, it doesn't seem like a game of chance when you do know the answer... nor does anything else in life. So is it a game of chance... yes... so is rolling dice, playing a slot machine, and receiving the cards from the dealer. However, all of those are no longer a game of chance when you know the answer.
The game of chance doesn't happen when you select a card... it happens before you select a card, and after you give it the same input, winning that race without doing anything else. (So then, you cannot test if it is a game of chance simply by reloading a save and winning the race again. If you do that, then you've put in the same input. How can we then test it to see if it is truly a game of chance? You would have to prove that the random sampling never took place. (It can take place after the race, before the race, before you have raced your very first race.... although I doubt that.)
Basically, it is impossible for me or you to test if the random sampling ever occurred, unless we had the computer skills to look at the program and all of it's data and find the random sampling.... idk what it would look like... or how we'd be able to even look at all the data. Basically... it's almost impossible for us to test. The guys giving away in-game compensations either know that there is no random-sampling taking place.... or they're idiots who should be fired because they don't know that there IS random sampling taking place and think that the tests you and others have done can prove otherwise.
What I am trying to say is that you cannot prove that there is no random sampling taking place. The tests you have done do not prove that random sampling isn't taking place... nor do they prove that it did take place.
You don't need much credentials to understand random sampling and chance, however. I am a high-school/college student who scored 30 composite on the ACT, has a 4.2 GPA (lazy me), and understands random sampling because of my Math college classes. (I am also talented in Math.... although I cannot prove that to you through through these comments... haha)
Hope that makes everything clear.... email me if it doesn't. (It's a garbage email... not a personal... however I will check it.)