If I were verifying that the Plucky Clover had an equal likelihood of drafting each event card had, then watching my pulls drift towards the mean over iterations makes sense. However, when I play Plucky, the mode and more specifically the general probabilities (like in the OP, though the percentage calculations need to be updated - i.e. divided by 21 instead of 20) are that which rest most prominently upon my mind.
in english please?
An overall bonus attack average of 3.1 just tells me that as I play/played PC, I should expect that it usually will gain/gained a +3.
Any time that I play PC, I want to know that I'm most likely to get +3 because 28.6% of the event cards have a 3-sun cost. I'm next most likely to get either a +1 or a +4 as each group represents 19.0% of the total. +2 and +5 are each 14.3%, and there is only a 4.8% chance that I'll pick up a +6.
So, what's my final takeaway? It depends on how much attack value I need PC to have. For most situations, a +2 is acceptable, so I'm more worried of a 19.0% chance of the +1 but hopeful for the 47.6% chance (nearly a heads/tail coin flip) of getting a +3 or +4.
ok i see what you are getting at.
my only addition to that is that attack strength is not why I play PC. (it's the card draw combined with chump block at the very least)
