"Triple-One-Hits" Too Often?
I have some comments about the "randomness" of the hit/shield counter, and I would like to ask you guys to start paying attention to the "streaks" of one-hits in a row. I noticed what seemed like three-ones-in-a-row a little too often, and even FOUR in a row. I started watching it more closely, and saw it more often than my "stats mind" thought it should.
So I coded up a test app in Java, and here is what I found. In a max of four series of up to 8 "hits", here are the percentages of "ones in a row":
3 "ones" in a row: 7.52%
4 "ones" in a row: 2.19%
5 "ones" in a row: 0.55%
These are runs of 1 million "games" each, and multiple runs are within 0.001% of each other. And to be clear ... this is how many times those streaks are seen in an entire game ... NOT how often they would be seen in each "shield cycle" of a max of 8.
I am definitely seeing streaks of three way more than 7 out of 100 games I play. And there are some special circumstances where it seems extremely likely. The biggest offender appears to be with Heartichoke in the Venus Flytraplanet when it starts it heal/attack cycle.
Have you noticed it at all? Have you seen it worse in certain situations? I would love to hear feedback, and ask that you start paying attention to it and let me know.