"Wookiebush;c-1842402" wrote:
What kind of **** looks at hundreds of people making the same claim and discredits every one of them in favor of a handful of people that claim they have tracked it? Your denial is strong.
Hundreds of people in a game with a six or seven figure playerbase, for a game that's been around for over three years.
Part of true randomness is, if you roll enough, unlikely events
will happen. If there are a million players, odds are somebody is having that one in a million improbably bad week. Guess who's more likely to post about it?
Anecdotes are not evidence. Especially since frustration warps memory. You tend to round down in your head a lot when you're frustrated at a streak and thinking back.
Keep in mind that, pure math, with a 1/3 chance to get a shard and 5 attempts, it comes out to about a 50/50 chance of getting 0 or 1 shards. And about another 1/3 chance of 2 shards, with the remaining 1/6 being 3 or more. Getting 0 or 1 shards is just losing a coin toss.
You're trying to force a conspiracy narrative when all that's happening is
normal.