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Chaincode's avatar
Chaincode
Rising Rookie
4 months ago

Duel of Fates/Peridea Patrol Reward odds

For these 2 "new" assault battles is there a place we can see the odds of each possible drop somewhere?

Specifically: Is it supposed to be 50/50 odds for getting 5 Gyrda Keypads vs 5 droid brains? 

I have gotten only droid brains (unneeded) on 3 or 4 tries. Still early to claim not 50/50 but it is a concern and would like to know, community deserves to know before these huge investments, for this and future assault battles. 

If someone from CG can confirm exact odds. Thanks!

12 Replies

  • DUNCAN1919's avatar
    DUNCAN1919
    Rising Veteran
    11 days ago

    A minor typo doesn't mean Im wrong.

    The key bit is "the outcome of previous results does not influence the outcome of a new flip". So no you don't understand it as this key point is not considered at all by you.

  • DarjeloSalas's avatar
    DarjeloSalas
    New Ace
    11 days ago

    I suspect you don’t understand very basic probability theory as well as you suggest DUNCAN1919 

    You seem to be suggesting that even with a large data set it’s impossible to determine if the odds of something is 50/50 or not because every RNG event is not influenced by previous RNG events. 

    You are correct that previous events do not influence the next event, but you are quite wrong to suggest that there’s no way to determine, within a confidence interval, the probability of an event when you have enough data to reach a conclusion.

    For instance, some time ago I tracked the drops on 1000 sims of Speed mod challenges and 1000 sims of Offence mod challenges. I observed that the drop rate of Gold mods was 2%. You can’t tell me that I have no foundation to make that conclusion. The OP is looking for data to help make a conclusion. With enough data, we can determine whether or not the droid brain / gyrda keypad is 50/50 or not. 

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