been searching the forums trying to find out if the 30% drop rate is per node or across all nodes....been farming for a certain toon(ship) and i wish i could say the rate has been terrible which would be an improvement from its current abysmal but mostly non existent drops(3of24), with the best day 7of24...but on a few other nodes, they are above average(5of8)should ic a return to normalcy on each node? or will that rate get spread out over multiple nodes?

It's the same for every node. The game doesn't hate you, you just hit a bad streak.I'm farming Canderous right now - yesterday I got 16 shards, today I got 5. Just luck of the draw.

You are looking at a small sample size and judging statistics that way will always show highs and lows that seem to defy the average. each node has a 30% drop rate, and it will all prove out at the end.

ok, thanks for the support....i might have to actually start to track to be sure im not just focusing on the negative...

As far as I can tell, the drop rate is the same for each node (with one possible exception--see below). I've tracked 35 different characters, total of over 8000 attempts. My total drop rate was 2781 of 8247, or 33.7%, roughly 1 in 3. Individual drop rates for specific nodes have varied from 22.2% up to 43.8% (counting only populations of >=50). Statistically, getting low total drops on small populations is more probably than on large populations, so this has to be considered when figuring out how probable a given result is. With that perspective, of all the results for all the nodes I've tracked, I find that results from only 2 nodes fell below a 2% probability of occurring: Darth Sion (27.1%; 69 of 255; probability of getting this low or lower = 1.8% or 1 in 54), and Xanadu Blood (22.2%; 32 of 144; probability of getting this or lower = 0.13%, or 1 in 772). The first doesn't seem outlandishly improbable given I've got 35 populations (it's not that improbable to hit 1 in 54 odds after trying 35 times), but the second is either some serious bad luck or else the drop rate on Xanadu Blood really is lower.Granted, I've only tracked 35 nodes, but of those, only the one seems improbable. I'm still collecting data on Xanadu Blood, so we'll see if my drop rate increases.

My IG-2000 is at 29.7% of 175 tries, so a little lower than average, but not statistically abnormal. My XB is getting worse--down to 21.6%. I know, "Never tell me the odds." Well, I'm gonna anyway: 1384 to 1. Curious to see if my XB drop rate improves magically now that the OT Millenium Falcon event is over.

Shard drop rate per node? | EA Forums

14 Replies

OldBaldOneKenob
7 years ago
"DarthSummers;c-1758635" wrote:
Love the Stats @OldBaldOneKenobi, it's great to have someone else with some statistical knowledge on here :-)

Thanks, DarthSummers. Sometimes I feel like C-3PO, pedantically calculating numbers, but at least I learn something from them.
GurHaldan
6 years ago

"OldBaldOneKenobi;c-1759584" wrote:
My IG-2000 is at 29.7% of 175 tries, so a little lower than average, but not statistically abnormal. My XB is getting worse--down to 21.6%. I know, "Never tell me the odds." Well, I'm gonna anyway: 1384 to 1. Curious to see if my XB drop rate improves magically now that the OT Millenium Falcon event is over.

Hi OBOK - did your drop rates for XB improve/reduce/stay the same after the Millennium Falcon event?
OldBaldOneKenob
6 years ago
"GurHaldan;c-1829195" wrote:

Hi OBOK - did your drop rates for XB improve/reduce/stay the same after the Millennium Falcon event?

After getting a 21.6% (35/162) drop rate for XB in the week before and the week during the OTMF event, I've gone 225/748 or 30.1%, so definitely an improvement, but still well below my overall average shard drop rate of 33.6% (in 15,000+ attempts over all light/dark/cantina/fleet nodes). Overall, this is a 28.6% drop rate for XB, since I started farming. According to my calculations, this is still an 856 to 1 result, although if I only look at the post-OTMF-event results, they are more reasonable at only 32 to 1 (or ~3% probability).

So yes, I'm still getting hosed on my XB drop rates, but not nearly as bad. To put the whole thing into perspective, though, on that same node my drop rates for the Hoth Rebel Scout are 313 in 910 tries, compared to only 260 for XB. So basically, I've gotten 53 more shards for HR Scout than XB, which has extended my farming time by about 20 days (assuming no refreshes). And no, I'm not done farming XB yet, although I've forced myself to do 2 daily refreshes for the past week or so, so I should get to 7 star before the end of this 2nd OTMF event.
inoanduno
6 years ago
i was able to complete ig2000 finally....and drops did improve(still didn't track it tho), but i did notice the toon shards dropped alot more than the ship shards...ino there are alot of people that say they don't mess with drop rates and that they're even across the board but...i'm not one of those!

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Shard drop rate per node?

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