Veterans drop rates

I found it to be equal in the end. I did 3 refreshes per day for about a week. Was averaging about 12 per day. I also simmed 4 at a time, no more- no less. Don’t know if that makes a difference.

I'm just now beginning this farm. It's gonna be a long summer....

Because the drop rate is so low (about 30%), it's not as uncommon to go long stretches without a drop as you might think. You get 165 energy per day (45 + 5/hr x 24), for about 10 attempts without a refresh (165/16). The probability of going 0/10 is (1-.3)^10, or about 1 in 35.

Now you've got 265 shards to farm for each, for a total of 530. At a 30% drop rate, that's 1766 cantina battles you'll need to do (530÷.3). So with such large number of attempts, you'll be going 0/10 pretty often. It seems like you might just be happening to get those streaks on Han rather than Chewie.

I've farmed Capt Han, Deathtrooper, Sith Trooper and the vets from the 16e nodes, and they all seem to take the same amount of time, plus or minus a couple of days. Kinda like the stock market, you have to look at the long term rather than daily changes.

"kalidor;c-1518319" wrote:
I've farmed Capt Han, Deathtrooper, Sith Trooper and the vets from the 16e nodes, and they all seem to take the same amount of time, plus or minus a couple of days.

Yep, which is why I'm baffled at the "presumably characters have different drop rates" comment above.

While farming them I have never once gotten more than 3 Han shards from a refresh, so 7-8 attempts. I usually get 1-2. With Chewie I've gotten 7 shards out of 8 attempts 3 times in the last couple weeks. I usually get 3-4 though. The drop rates have to be different. There's no other explanation for the fact that farming Chewie took roughly half the time to farm Han.

Just confirmation bias. Many people have recorded the data and shown that drop rates work out to 1/3 for cantina.

My experience of it lately has been that Vet Han and Chewie have been consistently yielding 1 shard for every 7 simulations on average ( over the past two months of farming them) Where other characters like deathtrooper have yielded 1 shard per every 4 simulations, and Ezra Bridger 1 in 3

And you've tracked the data or just guessing?

The thread is quite old.
I've farmed the vets and unlocked Rey as planned. Switched from CLS to JTR, bb8 293 speed, NAILED IT. Sorry for the salty thread, I was in that phase in which you have just started the vets and you can't see the end to their farming lol.

"Drazhar;d-165953" wrote:
Hello there!

I'm farming the two elders for Rey. And I've noticed a thing: I know about RNG and everything, but their drop rates are clearly different. It's almost impossible to deny. Chewie has a way better drop rate than Han.

Why?

Is it simply shallowness and poor programming? Or is there a valid reason?

I disagree. I found Han to have significantly better drops, and I farmed them both from 3 stars. So, RNG in the end.