Cheapest way to own compilation/sets/venues!
Okay, I have been lurking on the Daily Deal and Cascades threads (which are absolutely fantastic). But these threads are listings deals and cascades, as their names say, and so it’s not always immedia...
Forum Discussion
As of May 11, 2021 I own Best of 2012 Compilation, and below are my purchases towards it. The Owned, Owned % and New CYS are all from after the associated purchase
| Purchase | Paid | Owned | Owned % | New CYS |
| ------------------------------------- | -------: | ----: | ------: | ------: |
| India Inspirations Collection | 799/1783 | 2639 | 22%* | 2875 |
| Chun Co. Teppenyaki Grill | 150/552 | 3191 | 27%* | 2375 |
| Lord Vladimir's Magic Cauldron | 162/461 | 3652 | 31%* | 1960 |
| Enchanted Bundle of Dark Dealings | 750/1225 | 4639 | 39% | 1075 |
| More Magic! | 0/1100 | 4972 | 42% | 775 |
| Itadakimasu! Japanese Inspired Dining | 0/490 | 6350 | 54% | 0 |
Owned % is the Store reported owned percentage (bar at top of set's page). The percents with a * were not recorded when they were active so I estimated them (as they're all below 50 anyway their exact value doesn't really matter much for CYS)
Using the above known percents, I estimated the value of Stones Throw Greenhouse like so
Best of 2012 known prices: 7525
Known venue item prices: 1175
- sunflower: 545
- gardening station: 630
Best of 2012 without venue items: 6350
| Owned | Store % | Est. Min | Est. Max | Missing |
| ----: | ------: | -------: | -------: | ----------: |
| 4639 | 39 | 11598 | 11894 | 5248 - 5544 |
| 4972 | 42 | 11563 | 11838 | 5213 - 5488 |
| 6350 | 54 | 11546 | 11759 | 5196 - 5409 |
I'm well aware of the CYS formula, as well as the changing CYS discount findings of puzzlezaddict. I spent ~5 months gathering data from the Store by hand and refining the CYS formula (using all the info you just pointed me towards, though I didn't necessarily get it all from there) to create a spreadsheet that can accurately predict the Store's CYS offers.
Working towards Best of 2012 actually allowed me to uncover ANOTHER change in the CYS discount based on how much of a set you own: somewhere between 60% and 75% the discount changes from 80% to 70%. Building off of puzzlezaddict's work, I estimated the new change and my calculations became correct. Since I made this change (the day I bought Enchanted Bundle in April 2021) my calculations have only been wrong on 2 of 376 test cases, which were Kids! 2010 and Tip Top Toddler Collection (known to be bugged via the Animals Abound cascade).
| Set | Owned | Owned % | Store CYS | 80% CYS | 70% CYS |
| ---------------------- | ----: | ------: | --------: | ------: | ------: |
| More Magic! | 1448 | 81 | 235 | 265 | 235 |
| May 2011 Compilation | 3804 | 75 | 60 | 70 | 60 |
| April 2012 Compilation | 2826 | 60 | 435 | 435 | 380 |
(sorry for bad table formatting -- they look much nicer the my original markdown file)
Edit 2022-03-07: guess I can't edit in prettier formatting to posts I made before being a full member
| Purchase | Paid | Owned | Owned % | New CYS |
| ------------------------------------- | -------: | ----: | ------: | ------: |
| India Inspirations Collection | 799/1783 | 2639 | 22%* | 2875 |
| Chun Co. Teppenyaki Grill | 150/552 | 3191 | 27%* | 2375 |
| Lord Vladimir's Magic Cauldron | 162/461 | 3652 | 31%* | 1960 |
| Enchanted Bundle of Dark Dealings | 750/1225 | 4639 | 39% | 1075 |
| More Magic! | 0/1100 | 4972 | 42% | 775 |
| Itadakimasu! Japanese Inspired Dining | 0/490 | 6350 | 54% | 0 |
Owned % is the Store reported owned percentage (bar at top of set's page). The percents with a * were not recorded when they were active so I estimated them (as they're all below 50 anyway their exact value doesn't really matter much for CYS)
Using the above known percents, I estimated the value of Stones Throw Greenhouse like so
Best of 2012 known prices: 7525
Known venue item prices: 1175
- sunflower: 545
- gardening station: 630
Best of 2012 without venue items: 6350
| Owned | Store % | Est. Min | Est. Max | Missing |
| ----: | ------: | -------: | -------: | ----------: |
| 4639 | 39 | 11598 | 11894 | 5248 - 5544 |
| 4972 | 42 | 11563 | 11838 | 5213 - 5488 |
| 6350 | 54 | 11546 | 11759 | 5196 - 5409 |
I'm well aware of the CYS formula, as well as the changing CYS discount findings of puzzlezaddict. I spent ~5 months gathering data from the Store by hand and refining the CYS formula (using all the info you just pointed me towards, though I didn't necessarily get it all from there) to create a spreadsheet that can accurately predict the Store's CYS offers.
Working towards Best of 2012 actually allowed me to uncover ANOTHER change in the CYS discount based on how much of a set you own: somewhere between 60% and 75% the discount changes from 80% to 70%. Building off of puzzlezaddict's work, I estimated the new change and my calculations became correct. Since I made this change (the day I bought Enchanted Bundle in April 2021) my calculations have only been wrong on 2 of 376 test cases, which were Kids! 2010 and Tip Top Toddler Collection (known to be bugged via the Animals Abound cascade).
| Set | Owned | Owned % | Store CYS | 80% CYS | 70% CYS |
| ---------------------- | ----: | ------: | --------: | ------: | ------: |
| More Magic! | 1448 | 81 | 235 | 265 | 235 |
| May 2011 Compilation | 3804 | 75 | 60 | 70 | 60 |
| April 2012 Compilation | 2826 | 60 | 435 | 435 | 380 |
(sorry for bad table formatting -- they look much nicer the my original markdown file)
Edit 2022-03-07: guess I can't edit in prettier formatting to posts I made before being a full member
