Sims 4 won't open, but it sure thinks it is

I only have the holiday pack installed and I've run the game in the past with no problem.

I updated my graphics driver, turned off Origin In-Game, restarted my computer, launched Sims 4 in Windowed mode, got the same results as I have been getting, ended the Origin task, opened Origin as an administrator and tried Sims in Windowed mode again and 32-bit instead of 64-bit, still the same results.

I did try to right click the Sims 4 shortcut on my desktop and run that as administrator, but it's still not showing up on the screen. It didn't open up the Origin window or show any Sims screen, but now when I look at Task Manager it does show both Origin and Sims 4 as active processes.

I am very confused about this problem.