Forum Discussion
8 years ago
I know the post you're taking about and it's a bit off imho.
The probability is straight forward, on average you'll pay $50k on every bonus box to get 3 (I've confirmed this result by recording hundreds of results).
If as you suggest in your example, it takes 10 KEM to make a bonus box (multiplier would be 754%), then the cost is $144k. The cost is lower on average to achieve 3 then it is to rebuy another bonus box.
The math changes when your multiplier reaches the point where you can buy bonus for less than the average cost of getting 3. ~3400%
All this presumes that the bonus box is perfectly random distribution, which it isn't.
The probability is straight forward, on average you'll pay $50k on every bonus box to get 3 (I've confirmed this result by recording hundreds of results).
If as you suggest in your example, it takes 10 KEM to make a bonus box (multiplier would be 754%), then the cost is $144k. The cost is lower on average to achieve 3 then it is to rebuy another bonus box.
The math changes when your multiplier reaches the point where you can buy bonus for less than the average cost of getting 3. ~3400%
All this presumes that the bonus box is perfectly random distribution, which it isn't.
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