NEVER cleared a wheel club (aka Wheel Complaint thread 1,00,000,000,000)

AARONRTD wrote:
I got 18 ponds last year and so far I got another 14, I want fountains and lamps.as for the train I had 1, spun 1, and got a free one. Maybe 70-100 spins so far.

My god you must have spent a lot of doughnuts-100 spins is 20000 hearts which is well hard to get in this update

I've now spun 30 times by my count and have 9 birdbaths!

Cleared it on around 27 when I got my first lamppost. From here on in I want ponds trains and fences really.

L_B_123XD wrote:

AARONRTD wrote:
I got 18 ponds last year and so far I got another 14, I want fountains and lamps.as for the train I had 1, spun 1, and got a free one. Maybe 70-100 spins so far.

My god you must have spent a lot of doughnuts-100 spins is 20000 hearts which is well hard to get in this update

Just counted 93+/- spins (could be off with the fences), but I get 3-5 spins daily and I've only speeded up the first quest and Brandline kids.

L_B_123XD wrote:
I've yet to get the kart, I don't know what the odds of it are but it must be unbelievably low as I've had like 20 spins and not got anywhere near it.

The odds for most of the items is 10% actually. The two exceptions are the train (5%) and the fence sections (15%) It's much, much more balanced than the christmas wheel odds.

But this starts off the whole discussion of what "odds" means when it comes to spinning a wheel. It's not like a deck of cards, where your odds of getting a certain card change every time a new card is drawn from the deck. They reset every time.
If you just won, say, a lamp post, your odds of landing on a lamp post next time you spin are still 10% and your odds of spinning something other than a lamp post are also still 10% (with the two exceptions) so spinning the same thing multiple times or failing to spin one thing after multiple tries does not mean that one has higher odds and one has lower odds.
And just because something has odds of 10% does not mean that one out of every ten spins will land on that particular thing. After 1000 spins, it might work out that 100 of those spins was a flower cart, but some of those might have come right in a row, with long lulls between them. It's like flipping a coin. Sure, eventually it might work out that 50% of the flips were heads and 50% were tails, but you can also flip the same thing seven times in a row, so if you're only looking at ten flips, it looks like totally different odds. You have to flip 100 times or more for the odds to really start being reflected by your data. That's why sample size is important in statistics. You can't interview five people and extrapolate the census of the entire country; you need millions of data points.
What I'm essentially saying is, your sample size of what you have received from the wheel is not sufficient for you to determine the odds. (I, for example, have something like eight flower carts. But I only have two fountains, and the fountain was the last item I had on the wheel when I cleared it. Yet the odds of the two items are the same, overall.)
Statistics is weird like that. It's part of what makes it such a difficult class for a lot of students.

i'd love to have all the trains you guys are getting

Bing987 wrote:
Well, some guy posted the way to beat the wheel a few days ago. It actually works. Move the wheel with your finger so that your target is about four spaces counter-clockwise away. Then, lift your finger and then flick upward. I always hit the one I want or one away on either side. I cleared the wheel in 13 spins.

noope.

been doing this since i read that post. last six spins. no consistency at all of where they land. been trying for a gazebo every time.

34 spins, no gazebo or fence. 1 train.

I was very surprised when I cleared this wheel considering the game crashes nearly every time I try to visit a neighbor, half the time when I try to go to the neighbor list, and often just when I am in my own town. I feel incredibly stupid having spent so much money on donuts now that I am being driven so close to quitting.

And, I also had over 140k cards when the Holiday event ended...

4junk3000 wrote:

Bing987 wrote:
Well, some guy posted the way to beat the wheel a few days ago. It actually works. Move the wheel with your finger so that your target is about four spaces counter-clockwise away. Then, lift your finger and then flick upward. I always hit the one I want or one away on either side. I cleared the wheel in 13 spins.

noope.

been doing this since i read that post. last six spins. no consistency at all of where they land. been trying for a gazebo every time.

34 spins, no gazebo or fence. 1 train.

I'm wondering if the device makes a difference, because I haven't had any luck trying this on my android tablet, (I want more ponds) but I used it to clear my boyfriend's wheel on his ipad today. He needed two things and I got them in two spins. It was kind of amazing, actually.

Bing987 wrote:

4junk3000 wrote:
been doing this since i read that post. last six spins. no consistency at all

Like with any sport, you need to be consistent with your shot. Do you flick the wheel the same way every time? If you are giving it a lot of spin one time and almost none the next, you will get inconsistent results.

Practice finger placement and speed and try to do the same thing every time. Also, note where the wheel started each time and where it landed. Look for a pattern. Your sweet spot might be six spaces away or three.

Random number generators do not care what finger motion you use to spin the wheel or where you position it before spinning. Some people will take longer than others to clear it and some will think they have detected a pattern even though there is none. This is Introductory Statistics 101 - how randomness works.

Bing987 wrote:

4junk3000 wrote:
been doing this since i read that post. last six spins. no consistency at all

Like with any sport, you need to be consistent with your shot. Do you flick the wheel the same way every time? If you are giving it a lot of spin one time and almost none the next, you will get inconsistent results.

Practice finger placement and speed and try to do the same thing every time. Also, note where the wheel started each time and where it landed. Look for a pattern. Your sweet spot might be six spaces away or three.

it's not a knuckle ball. it's flicking up on a piece of glass. im pretty sure i can handle doing it exactly the same each time, as i have been specifically to test this claim people keep making. even if i was not hitting the intended prize there would be some consistency i if the spin was dependent on the flick.

it clearly is not when you see the same starting point landing all over the wheel, not just in a similar region.

this Is with a droid tab tho. i could imagine ipoo having a random number generator renewing for each spin so its first generation is the same each time and thus repeatable. (ha j/k)