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Anjunakrokus's avatar
Anjunakrokus
4 years ago

Examination of heirloom probability of single packs

While listning to a Gaming Merchant pack opening video I coded a little program to estimate the average number of pack that you need to open to get an Heirloom (since you are guaranteed to get it aft...
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DarthValtrex's avatar
DarthValtrex
Hero (Retired)
4 years ago
@Anjunakrokus This is not how RNG work though.

The odds are always 1-500 packs or so. The reason being is the total number of outcomes will always be the same. Probability plays no part in RNG's.

Casino games such as slots work off of a similar system. It all boils down to stopping the RNG at the right time, some people never will and some people will do it multiple times. It does not matter if you've opened 10,000 Apex Packs or just 10, the odds are always the same.
Zkepz's avatar
Zkepz
4 years ago

Technicaly yes, but realisticly if you check the statistics its different. I think this is what OP is trying to model here.

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