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@DarthValtrex Yes, i know that. The math takes that into account.
To show you take coin flipping. 50/50 heads or tails.
Heads, you get an heirloom. Tails you don't.
One flip is 50/50. 2 outcomes
H or T
Two flips 4 possible outcomes (in this case all equally likely, so 25% chance of each)
H/H
H/T
T/H
T/T
Chance of not getting an heirloom is .5 * .5 (both flips are Tails). Which is 0.25. Therefore chance of getting the Heads over two flips is 75% (which you can see above, each of the 4 events is 25% chance, 3 of the 4 events would give you an heirloom ergo 75% chance).
Which one do you have a better chance at getting the heirloom? One flip or two?
Exactly the same logic used in my argument before. That's how probability works.
That's how probability works over multiple independent events. This is basic stuff guys. I am surprised I am having to "show my work".
- DR
There are thousands of possibilities with this RNG. So the odds of you having "perfect" pack openings is nearly impossible. How ever if you look at packs opened by the millions, it will average out. .5% of those who open packs will receive an heirloom before the guarantee the remaining 99.5% won't. That is how this works, that is how RNG work.. There is absolutely no probable cause to it, probable cause has no place in statistics, it never has and it never will.
Probability has no place in RNG or luck based systems. I used to work on slot machines. I can tell you how many people I watched blow fortunes on slot machines because they believed "probable cause" meant they should win soon.. It just does not work that way.
- RockDokRock4 years agoSeasoned Ace
@DarthValtrex No, you're making zero sense.
Show me your work - the actual math - to justify your answer. I've done so twice already and all you are doing is going on about "RNG" and "perfect" flips - neither of which makes any sense.
Its' true computer based RNG is not truly "Random" (well, you can get hardware that does this but I doubt that's the case here) but, for our purposes, the outcome of that is insignificant; the trends should follow pretty closely what I'm claiming.
Show me.
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