@RockDokRockI'm just tryina say that your 71% chance of heirloom after 250 packs sounds way too optimistic, considering no matter how many you open it's still 0.5% chance.
@damsonwhufndthis wrote:@RockDokRockI'm just tryina say that your 71% chance of heirloom after 250 packs sounds way too optimistic, considering no matter how many you open it's still 0.5% chance.
It is each time individually. If you have 250 packs to open though, do you really think it's still 0.5% overall?
This is why the coin flip example is relevant to drive home this point.
Individual coin flips give you a 50/50 heads or tails. Totally true.
Would you expect to get at least one heads after 10 flips? Do you think your chance of seeing at least one heads after 10 flips is only 50%?
Can you see the difference?
- DR
Community ManagerCommunity Manager
