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Sash273PS's avatar
Sash273PS
Seasoned Newcomer
6 months ago

What are the odds? Disappointing experience with packs.

During the last months I had the following disappointing experiences when opening packs:

  • General rewards packs: up until earlier this week none of my in game rewards packs (at least 150-200 packs) contained any special cards except for Team of the Week Players. Since this week I am getting other special cards again. Was this a bug?
  • Special rewards packs with „Guaranteed Category“ Players, e.g. Squad Battle Elite Level Rewards: I only get lowest ranked players and always the same lowest ranked multiple times. Is this a bug or just extremely unfavourable probabilities for higher ranked players?
  • Promo Packs: Once in awhile I purchase FC coins and buy packs. Recently I purchased two Fantasy FC (incl Hero) packs for 4000 FC coins each and got the same very low ranking Fantasy FC players twice! What are the odds? No Hero in sight, okay, but exactly the same super low ranking players? Really? I truely hope this is a bug, because if this how EA weighs the probabilities in these packs, then I will stop purchasing.
  • Overall very disappointing experience with packs in the last 3 months. The game play experience has really suffered. There was time when my son and I were excited to unpack together. The fun factor of pack opening is basically gone. The packs are only good for feeding SBC but otherwise the packs are disappointing and almost useless. In fact, to me unfortunately it has become a very disappointing and annoying experience.

4 Replies

  • You are more than likely going to get the lowest reward possible. That’s why top cards are more expensive they are packed less often. 

  • Sash273PS's avatar
    Sash273PS
    Seasoned Newcomer
    6 months ago

    I understand that the probabilities must be higher for lower players, but in my experience it is frustratingly unbalanced, in a way that I do not even get a good spread across various lower ranked player. If I open 5 packs and get two (out roughly 30!) different players of the lowest ranks only (happened to me with Future Stars and also Fantasy FC and in between there wasn‘t even any special card except TOTW), then that appear to be intentional and not very random, and that is more than just disappointing. In addition, I would expect even more fairness regarding probabilities for packs that cost quite a bit of money. If I pack 2 of the most expensive packs and get the same lowest possible ranked players twice, that is not coincidence. It either a bug or a product that I will refuse to buy in future. If that is not a bug, then I do not understand EA philosophy behind this. It’s really frustrating and at least I will discontinue purchasing packs in that case.

  • They post the probability on the packs you buy. When people say random they should mean it’s random like you have the same chance to pack any player like anyone else. It’s not really random as the cards have weight and you will likely pack all the bad cards more. You said you understand that though.  It is fair and not a coincidence  

    Really all you have to do is look at the market. Everyone is discard besides a few top cards. You are going to pack the players at discard price. 

  • Sash273PS's avatar
    Sash273PS
    Seasoned Newcomer
    6 months ago

    I do understand probabilities, yes. What are the odds to pack the „special“ players 3 or 4 times in row? Happens like 3 times to me. Even with a 50% probability highly unlikely. Where can I find those probabilities? 

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