About these bonus drops...
I'm guessing they don't have a 30% drop rate like a regular hard node? 8 runs and zero bonus shards.... The chances of that are 0.019% or 0.00019 (70% chance of not getting one, 24 times) Come o...
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I had one run where I received bonus shards for all 3, so it appears I can confirm it’s not an either/or situation.
Also, where did they state the 30% drop rate? I know that’s what they’ve stated for normal hard node drops, but I never saw them state that for bonus shards.
If I had to guess I would bet the bonus shard drop was something more like 10% per character, for a total of 30% bonus drop chance.
Under that assumption, your first example of zero drops on 8 runs (.7^8) 0.058 or 5.8% or 1 in ~17 attempts. That certainly seems reasonable to me, and anecdotally seems to match what I experienced.
Also, where did they state the 30% drop rate? I know that’s what they’ve stated for normal hard node drops, but I never saw them state that for bonus shards.
If I had to guess I would bet the bonus shard drop was something more like 10% per character, for a total of 30% bonus drop chance.
Under that assumption, your first example of zero drops on 8 runs (.7^8) 0.058 or 5.8% or 1 in ~17 attempts. That certainly seems reasonable to me, and anecdotally seems to match what I experienced.
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