Cara shards

"DarjeloSalas;c-2149111" wrote:

"Waqui;c-2148785" wrote:

"DarjeloSalas;c-2148705" wrote:

"Nasdadjr;d-233690" wrote:
I don't know if this is a major anomaly, but I have run 60 sims on the Cara node this week. I have gotten one shard. The odds of that are worse than winning the lottery. CG please look in to this. There is no reason why someone spending resources on energy and crystals should get 1 shard in 60 simulations.

There are only 3 possible conclusions from this:

1) you’re mistaken about only getting 1 shard
2) you haven’t done 60 sims
3) you have done 60 sims, but haven’t always simmed the correct node

There actually is a 4th possibility:

4) OP got 1 shard for 60 sims.

Yes, it's highly unlikely to happen, but not impossible.

@Nasdadjr Did you track all your attempts and drops? What are the exact results?

I dismissed that possibility as an outlier.

So you just dismissed what the person said because...

"Vi1teran_;c-2149146" wrote:

"DarjeloSalas;c-2149111" wrote:

"Waqui;c-2148785" wrote:

"DarjeloSalas;c-2148705" wrote:

"Nasdadjr;d-233690" wrote:
I don't know if this is a major anomaly, but I have run 60 sims on the Cara node this week. I have gotten one shard. The odds of that are worse than winning the lottery. CG please look in to this. There is no reason why someone spending resources on energy and crystals should get 1 shard in 60 simulations.

There are only 3 possible conclusions from this:

1) you’re mistaken about only getting 1 shard
2) you haven’t done 60 sims
3) you have done 60 sims, but haven’t always simmed the correct node

There actually is a 4th possibility:

4) OP got 1 shard for 60 sims.

Yes, it's highly unlikely to happen, but not impossible.

@Nasdadjr Did you track all your attempts and drops? What are the exact results?

I dismissed that possibility as an outlier.

So you just dismissed what the person said because...

Because the odds of the person being incorrect (remembering wrong, or other reasons) are almost 100%.

"TVF;c-2149148" wrote:

"Vi1teran_;c-2149146" wrote:

"DarjeloSalas;c-2149111" wrote:

"Waqui;c-2148785" wrote:

"DarjeloSalas;c-2148705" wrote:

"Nasdadjr;d-233690" wrote:
I don't know if this is a major anomaly, but I have run 60 sims on the Cara node this week. I have gotten one shard. The odds of that are worse than winning the lottery. CG please look in to this. There is no reason why someone spending resources on energy and crystals should get 1 shard in 60 simulations.

There are only 3 possible conclusions from this:

1) you’re mistaken about only getting 1 shard
2) you haven’t done 60 sims
3) you have done 60 sims, but haven’t always simmed the correct node

There actually is a 4th possibility:

4) OP got 1 shard for 60 sims.

Yes, it's highly unlikely to happen, but not impossible.

@Nasdadjr Did you track all your attempts and drops? What are the exact results?

I dismissed that possibility as an outlier.

So you just dismissed what the person said because...

Because the odds of the person being incorrect (remembering wrong, or other reasons) are almost 100%.

I would agree with that if the person hadn't already pointed out they realized that or it was the usual questioning CG's integrity.

"DarjeloSalas;c-2149111" wrote:

"Waqui;c-2148785" wrote:

"DarjeloSalas;c-2148705" wrote:

"Nasdadjr;d-233690" wrote:
I don't know if this is a major anomaly, but I have run 60 sims on the Cara node this week. I have gotten one shard. The odds of that are worse than winning the lottery. CG please look in to this. There is no reason why someone spending resources on energy and crystals should get 1 shard in 60 simulations.

There are only 3 possible conclusions from this:

1) you’re mistaken about only getting 1 shard
2) you haven’t done 60 sims
3) you have done 60 sims, but haven’t always simmed the correct node

There actually is a 4th possibility:

4) OP got 1 shard for 60 sims.

Yes, it's highly unlikely to happen, but not impossible.

@Nasdadjr Did you track all your attempts and drops? What are the exact results?

I dismissed that possibility as an outlier.

I'm glad we agree that there's this 4th possibility as well - and not only the 3 you listed.

"DarjeloSalas;c-2149154" wrote:

"Vi1teran_;c-2149146" wrote:

"DarjeloSalas;c-2149111" wrote:

"Waqui;c-2148785" wrote:

"DarjeloSalas;c-2148705" wrote:

"Nasdadjr;d-233690" wrote:
I don't know if this is a major anomaly, but I have run 60 sims on the Cara node this week. I have gotten one shard. The odds of that are worse than winning the lottery. CG please look in to this. There is no reason why someone spending resources on energy and crystals should get 1 shard in 60 simulations.

There are only 3 possible conclusions from this:

1) you’re mistaken about only getting 1 shard
2) you haven’t done 60 sims
3) you have done 60 sims, but haven’t always simmed the correct node

There actually is a 4th possibility:

4) OP got 1 shard for 60 sims.

Yes, it's highly unlikely to happen, but not impossible.

@Nasdadjr Did you track all your attempts and drops? What are the exact results?

I dismissed that possibility as an outlier.

So you just dismissed what the person said because...

Because the odds of it having happened are so vanishingly small that he simply must be mistaken in either the 1, the 60 or both.

But not impossible. I've tracked 47 characters and ships from 6-7 star. 41 fell between 30-35%(as expected), 1 was just under 37%, 5 were between 27 and 28%(interestingly 4 of those 5 were on 2 nodes) and one was just over 22%. Currently my CHS farm is 47/247 and I recently had a 3/50 on Juhani. If one of my bad runs was on a fresh node I'd question it to be sure others weren't having the same issues.

there have def been times where I feel like I've gone 1/60.

"Gifafi;c-2149180" wrote:
there have def been times where I feel like I've gone 1/60.

I've definitely gone 1/60 on gear.

I don't even remember feeling like I went 3/50.

"TVF;c-2149182" wrote:
I don't even remember feeling like I went 3/50.

how can you feel anything with your spreadsheets and facts and data???

"Gifafi;c-2149187" wrote:

"TVF;c-2149182" wrote:
I don't even remember feeling like I went 3/50.

how can you feel anything with your spreadsheets and facts and data???

I can't feel anything. Completely numb.

But only when I'm here.