Crowd-sourcing Cantina Node Droprates

"1AmYourFath3r;938282" wrote:
@sneeekypants did one recently, and I'd be surprised if @EventineElessedil doesn't have a ton of data on the subject.

Ha ... I have considered it, but concern for my sanity keeps me from getting too involved. I already spent a ton of time and effort deciphering GW. Instead, I just assumed 30% drop rate to predict the number of shards I should get per day (depending on energy refreshes) and use that to determine how long it should take to collect the number of shards I need. In the long run, I feel it is an accurate representation.* This is good enough for me.


* But when I farmed up RG from Cantina, it sure felt like a very high drop rate. But ... no data recorded *shrug*.

"EventineElessedil;938398" wrote:

"1AmYourFath3r;938282" wrote:
@sneeekypants did one recently, and I'd be surprised if @EventineElessedil doesn't have a ton of data on the subject.

Ha ... I have considered it, but concern for my sanity keeps me from getting too involved. I already spent a ton of time and effort deciphering GW. Instead, I just assumed 30% drop rate to predict the number of shards I should get per day (depending on energy refreshes) and use that to determine how long it should take to collect the number of shards I need. In the long run, I feel it is an accurate representation.* This is good enough for me.


* But when I farmed up RG from Cantina, it sure felt like a very high drop rate. But ... no data recorded *shrug*.

I share your GW data all the time. I know what you're saying though. I just assume it's 30% for shards, and base my projected time off that, and it's pretty accurate. I started TFP on alt and main at same time, and 7*'d them within a day of each other. That's enough conformation for me

I'm a very new player (10 days) and so spending most of my cantina energy on chewbacca to get him to 5*. I find it very streaky sometimes I will sim 8 or 10 rounds and get nothing, other times I can go 4 for 4.

That said, say I get around 20 runs a day x 10 days and I only have 51/65 shards. That shapes up to roughly 25% in the short term. So I'd believe 1/3 or 30% overall.

"DarthBrobdignagian;938432" wrote:
I'm a very new player (10 days) and so spending most of my cantina energy on chewbacca to get him to 5*. I find it very streaky sometimes I will sim 8 or 10 rounds and get nothing, other times I can go 4 for 4.

That said, say I get around 20 runs a day x 10 days and I only have 51/65 shards. That shapes up to roughly 25% in the short term. So I'd believe 1/3 or 30% overall.

@DarthBrobdignagian Welcome to the game! So when you get Chewie to 5*, just leave him there for a while and go get Lando instead. You can gear Chewie, but you can safely leave him at 5* while you get a more useful character.

"EventineElessedil;938505" wrote:


@DarthBrobdignagian Welcome to the game! So when you get Chewie to 5*, just leave him there for a while and go get Lando instead. You can gear Chewie, but you can safely leave him at 5* while you get a more useful character.

Thanks! And that is the plan! Just need to get a little more oomph out of him to get thru these level 45ish war teams.

I agree, this method would be incredibly biased.

I stopped at 2,000 because I felt it was enough to see patterns evolve. They are also close to what I've seen others publish so it was enough to satisfy my curiosity and angst when getting a string of bad drops.

I'm still curious about whether they are dynamic but it would take a much larger data set with a lot of variables recorded w every drop, far too much effort for a recreational activity.

"Nikoms565;938262" wrote:

"BentWookiee;938239" wrote:
Someone did this earlier.. (I forget who) :/

Does anyone remember?.. he ran it for a month and maybe would be neat to at least compare the data if not aggregate it.

Here's one:
https://forums.galaxy-of-heroes.starwars.ea.com/discussion/91405/so-i-tracked-2-000-drops/p1

And here's one that the esteemed @cosmicturtle333 did almost a year ago - same drop rates:

https://forums.galaxy-of-heroes.starwars.ea.com/discussion/21257/rey-drop-rate-32-72/p1

Far out its been a long time. My cat that was in that photo is dead now :cry:

It's nice to see I'm still 'esteemed' though :wink: