Forum Discussion
Ethim
3 years agoSeasoned Newcomer
"crzydroid;c-2374585" wrote:
So you want to see the rate but not collect the data? You want odds to fix themselves to a certain amount on small random runs? That's not how probability works. You had bad rng, plain and simple. It happens. It's not evidence of some conspiracy.
I want to see the rates provided IN-GAME, same as with packs. Not a 1 sentence mention in QA, with no data. If the odds would be slightly smaller for some feats, that wouldn't be a problem, but the disparities are quite big.
I wasn't calculating odds for getting that feat, that would require a big sample size. On small sample I can just calculate the odds of event with test % and you can do it quite accurately, based on that you can make an estimate (that obviously will be prone to error).
I can even make it more accurate with excluding repetitions in rerolls, 5% gives around 1 to 6 chance (of not getting it in 29 tries), 10% gives 1 to 50 chance, 20% gives 1 to 10000 chance, that's why I can say 5% around is plausible and most likely, and I have 1 to 50 odds of being mistaken.
Yet my main point is - odds NEED to be written next to every feat, so the people would know what gamble they are taking, with what chances of getting what they want.
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