Drop rates, loss runs and transparency
None of what follows is new, but I hope it encourages EA to have a think about how they handle artificially stochastic functions in the game, and gives some of you a bit more info about how to gain d...
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Thanks for the feedback and nice comments, and for your data Hansololol.
Here's the first data table of my results.
Note: all upper and lower bounds are the upper and lower 95% confidence interval (ie excluding the lower 2.5% and upper 97.5% of data.
Here's the first data table of my results.
Note: all upper and lower bounds are the upper and lower 95% confidence interval (ie excluding the lower 2.5% and upper 97.5% of data.
Drop rates for 50 trials or more at an arbitrary location
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variable Battle Number of trials Lower bound Estimated drop rate Upper bound
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1 Ability material MkI Cantina Battle 4B 110 0.137 0.209 0.297
2 Ability material MkI Cantina Battle 4D 214 0.230 0.290 0.355
3 Ability material MkII Cantina Battle 4B 110 0.145 0.218 0.307
4 Ability material MkII Cantina Battle 4D 214 0.105 0.150 0.204
5 Ability material MkIII Cantina Battle 4B 110 0.051 0.100 0.172
6 Ability material MkIII Cantina Battle 4D 214 0.023 0.047 0.084
7 Genosian Spy shard Cantina Battle 4D 214 0.327 0.393 0.461
8 Mk1 Carbanti Sensor Array Prototype Dark side 8C normal 73 0.188 0.288 0.406
9 Mk1 Merr-Sonn Shield Generator Light side 8G normal 99 0.325 0.424 0.528
10 Mk1 Sorosuub Keypad Light side 7D normal 203 0.456 0.527 0.597
11 Mk2 Arakyd Droid Caller Dark side 8C normal 73 0.387 0.507 0.626
12 Mk2 SoroSuub Keypad Prototype Dark side 7E normal 83 0.406 0.518 0.629
13 Mk3 Chiewab Hypo Syringe Prototype Salvage Dark side 7E normal 83 0.237 0.337 0.449
14 Mk3 Czerka Stun Cuffs Salvage Dark side 8C normal 73 0.131 0.219 0.331
15 Mk3 Czerka Stun Cuffs Salvage Light side 7D normal 203 0.158 0.212 0.275
16 Mk3 Czerka Stun Cuffs Salvage Light side 8G normal 99 0.080 0.141 0.226
17 Mk4 Loronar Power Cell Prototype Dark side 8B normal 84 0.310 0.417 0.529
18 Mk4 Nubian Security Scanner Protype Salvage Light side 7D normal 203 0.284 0.350 0.420
19 Mk5 A/KT Stun Gun Prototype Salvage Dark side 7E normal 83 0.124 0.205 0.308
20 Mk5 A/KT Stun Gun Prototype Salvage Dark side 8B normal 84 0.123 0.202 0.304
21 Mk7 BAW Armor Mod Prototype Salvage Dark side 8B normal 84 0.224 0.321 0.432
22 Mk7 BlasTech Weapon Mod Prototype Salvage Light side 8G normal 99 0.316 0.414 0.518
23 Sim ticket Cantina Battle 4B 110 0.058 0.109 0.183
24 Sim ticket Cantina Battle 4D 214 0.058 0.093 0.141
25 Sim ticket Dark side 7E normal 83 0.027 0.072 0.151
26 Sim ticket Dark side 8B normal 84 0.020 0.060 0.133
27 Sim ticket Dark side 8C normal 73 0.031 0.082 0.170
28 Sim ticket Light side 7D normal 203 0.057 0.094 0.142
29 Sim ticket Light side 8G normal 99 0.029 0.071 0.140
30 TIE Fighter pilot shard Cantina Battle 4B 110 0.233 0.318 0.414
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