Forum Discussion
2 years ago
"GegeGerard24;c-2411101" wrote:"Notthatguyfrombefore;c-2411097" wrote:
Simply saying there's two outcomes and so both are equally likely at 50% is just mathematically lazy.
But it does...
When i click that button...i will be met with either a higher GP or same/lower GP.
There is nothing else.
When i am met with higher GP, he will either att me or he doesn't.
There is nothing else.
Except that there isn't necessarily a 50% chance of either happening.
Example: I roll a die and there are two outcomes. Either it lands on six or it doesn't land on six , but as you can appreciate the chance of it landing on a 6 is not 50%. Even more extreme, I buy a lottery ticket and either win or don't. The chance of me winning is not 50% (I wish!!!) even though there are only two outcomes.
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