MK 12 Medpac

"DarjeloSalas;c-2310538" wrote:

No they haven’t. But there have been mass data gathering exercises conducted by communities like Planet Coruscant (they have a discord server anyone can join) that have deduced how the payouts work.

Thank you for the direct answer.

Is it a Fixed Probability (or odds or % chance or whatever the correct term is)? Where they enter an attribute of say “20% Chance Per Sim” and that never changes. In this scenario the number of sims you do or the sample size are irrelevant since probability and outcome are two totally different things. The probability will always be 20% every time you sim regardless of what you actually receive.

Yes. This is how all drops work.

Awesome, thanks again. This is what I originally thought it was.

This is pretty much indisputable proof that the drop rates for the gear piece you are talking about is at or around 20%.

Perfect, thank you.

Definitely not. If this was the case, the odds of people getting 5 character shard drops from 5 attempts would be astronomically low, yet we see reports of people getting this regularly. I am surprised that someone who has obviously played the game for some time can even entertain this as a possible scenario.

I agree this is ridiculous and contrary to my personal experience. But since the first answer was not simply just 'about 20%' but instead '20% over a large enough sample' it made me think that the probability was not fixed but somehow contingent on the number of sims. This confused me and I was just trying to make sense of it.

Seriously? I’ve seen a lot of them v us conspiracy theories on these forums, but this one takes the biscuit.

Yes, seriously. I don't understand why a company giving preferential treatment to it's best customers would be conspiratorial. Businesses do this everyday from hotel and airline upgrades, reward programs, complimentary goods and services, to buy backs at bars or comped rooms at casinos. It's a standard business practice. So the possibility that CG might give their best customers preferential drop rates seemed like a logical and reasonable business decision to me.

I recommend joining the Planet Coruscant discord server just to snoop around their data gathering exercises https://discord.gg/NTPZgZp

Thank you for this. This is great, I will definitely explore it.

With the power of community based observation there is no need for CG to publish the drop rates. It can be deduced with high confidence given a large enough body of evidence.

Regardless of the accuracy of the community observation, I think it would be best if CG did publish them but if they haven't by now they probably never will.

One thing is for sure though - if CG did publish the drop rates, there would be vast swathes of the community who would instantly disbelieve them.

This is undoubtedly true.

Thanks again to everybody for all the replies.