Shard drop rate is toooooo low :(

"Winterwolves;c-2393546" wrote:

Don't bother. 1 week of data from 1 player is not enough to establish anything.

1 out of 12 seems odd because people expect random to mean the same as "evenly distributed". It's not. This game has no mercy system where after 5, 10 or 50 attempts it guarantees a drop. Each attempt is independent and only 33%. You could have had an unlucky run of 20 no drops. It doesn't make number 21 any more likely to have a drop. It's still 33%.

Are you farming more than 1 character? Any more than 5 attempts per day throws off my stuff above. And the days where you get 3 balance out a bunch of zero days (no math here, I'm just spitballing).

Over the long term, over all players, it's 33% per attempt. Someone will be able to point you at the big data gathering discords and spreadsheets. Or just search the forums/internet.

My math above was just to show that 33% can feel bad, because all the other results pile up between the lucky runs. Especially if you've started to focus on the bad and dismiss the good.

Thanks for the explanation.

Yes, i am farming more than 1 characters.
As a F2P, i farm my prioritized characters 1st (5 allowed hard battles) then i used whatever energies left to farm other characters (since i cant farm anymore the prioritized characters).