Forum Discussion
7 years ago
"sloths19;c-1423697" wrote:
This is largely anecdotal thinking. Per CG, only 5% of TW's ended in a tie (I believe this was prior to the 2 most recent ones). Unfortunately both Reddit and the Forums perpetuate confirmation bias, with the same rings of people saying they tied and seeing others say the same. This game is played by hundreds of thousands, possibly millions of people across the globe. Just because there is a frenzy of posts about tying does not mean that it is the majority outcome. Most guilds do not tie.
I never said most guilds tie. Now, maybe the 125M number was a little low, the mechanism of a TW is that as you approach the top, ties become increasingly likely as the depth of both sides rosters increase and they're able to make more and more repeated attacks on a limited number of defenders, the probability of a tie increases. Even if only 5% of TWs end in a tie, if it's the same guilds over and over, it could be a problem - especially if you're in one of the guilds affected.
Looking at the current leader board, I suspect this is from someone who won this most recent TW but lost prior TWs and is complaining about the fact that their 1 win put them far behind other guilds that have strung together multiple wins but are actually much weaker then they are.
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