The Logray problem
If Logray is required to beat tier 7 of the C3P0 event, why is he a near impossible farm? I haven’t seen him in the guild store in two full weeks and there’s literally no way to farm him anywhere else...
Forum Discussion
Even single hard nodes will still sometimes end up giving you 0/8 or 0/16 for a day. Statistically speaking it's probable to get 2-3 shards per day on 8 sims, so about 5 shards every 2 days.
Statistically speaking, Logray shares a node with 5 other characters, so has a 1/6 chance to appear each time. With 8 shifts in 2 days, it's highly probable to get 5 shards every 2 days. Over a period of time, it should be faster to farm Logray in the guild store than a single hard node.
That being said, probability does not guarantee success. Even over 2 weeks, it's possible to get 0/56 Logray appearances. It's also possible (but less likely) to get 56/56.
What would be most helpful would be to organize a group of players to track the character appearances on that node over a period of time. That way you could start to get a picture of whether the characters there have a statistically significant frequency more than any of the others, or if it's an even distribution.
Statistically speaking, Logray shares a node with 5 other characters, so has a 1/6 chance to appear each time. With 8 shifts in 2 days, it's highly probable to get 5 shards every 2 days. Over a period of time, it should be faster to farm Logray in the guild store than a single hard node.
That being said, probability does not guarantee success. Even over 2 weeks, it's possible to get 0/56 Logray appearances. It's also possible (but less likely) to get 56/56.
What would be most helpful would be to organize a group of players to track the character appearances on that node over a period of time. That way you could start to get a picture of whether the characters there have a statistically significant frequency more than any of the others, or if it's an even distribution.
