Forum Discussion
9 years ago
"stohelit;c-1215971" wrote:
I am talking about, if I farm the cantina for however many days, there is no guarantee that I will have any particular number of shards. (I could farm for 37 days and have no shards, or I could have 763 shards - a shard every single time I play. Neither result are likely, but they are both possible if the game is fair.)
From my experience the standard deviation for shard drops results in a range of 30-44 days for your example with a probability of >70% for an outcome between 33 and 41 days. I did not calculate this properly because it is not worth the time. I just tracked total duration for a couple of toons I farmed.