League avancement, a blessing or a curse?

I’m in the Bronzium 1/Chromium 5 situation. I’m currently averaging 2-1 a week. One win a week is profitable over staying in Bronzium. There is also the risk of GL account coming down from Chromium and making me go 1-2 in Bronzium. I’m going to just let the GAC system work and take to promotion. If nothing else I get the silver frame for my profile portrait.

"RoopeRenegade;c-2326612" wrote:

"Gawejn;c-2326555" wrote:

"RoopeRenegade;c-2326533" wrote:
I did 30 mins Math, and then realised that the difference between staying and moving up is only 7 crystals altogether in 5 weeks.
(losing 3 matches just to drop down is a big crystal stash you're not getting, plus then you'd be getting bronze2 rewards for a week)

So, tldr it doesnt matter. I'm going up.

How did You count this? Couse in my case going for higher league means loosing around 3k crystals. Just impossible to have 4 more teams and 2 Fleet to stay competetive.

As I wrote, week 0 and week 4 are 3 losses, don't forget to account for that. Than take a realistic guess on how many you'll win and use the rewards (week 1 and week 5 will be one division lower, also calculate for that).
For me, thats 7 crystal difference in 5 weeks total.

My math showed that you have to average more than 1 extra win a week in the lower division to make it more valuable to be down there. With having to intentionally lose games to stay down its very hard to do that. I feel like if I played to WIN in lower division I would be about 2-1 and if I played to "not move up" it would be more like 2-1, 2-1, 2-1, 0-3 which is basically 1.5 to 1.5. I can go 0.5-2.5 in the higher division I am sure. So promote if I can.

Move up and let us know.

TLDR: Don't promote.

I am in a similar situation in Chromium 1 and need to go 1-2 to promote to Aurodium 5. So let's compare the different results over a 4 week + off week (we still get this right?) so 35 day cycle.

So I took the most basic of analysis which assumed you stayed in top or bottom division of your league the whole 4 weeks, which is worst case because you may actually be able to move up a little to Division 3 or 4 within your league.

For me. Chromium vs Aurodium:

3-0 in Chromium (Lower league) is better crystal income than all but 3-0 in Aurodium (higher league)
2-1 in Chromium is about equal to 1-2 in Aurodium
1-2 in Chromium is about equal to 0-3 in Aurodium

In theory if it was all balanced, going up a league should cost you about 1 game. But the increased squad sizes is probably going to be more like 2 games (so drop you from 3-0 to 1-2). I think one extra season at the lower league is probably ideal to build up more squads. You really don't want to promote till you can start going 2-1 in the upper league.

Here is my spreadsheet if anyone cares:

"RoopeRenegade;c-2326533" wrote:
I did 30 mins Math, and then realised that the difference between staying and moving up is only 7 crystals altogether in 5 weeks.
(losing 3 matches just to drop down is a big crystal stash you're not getting, plus then you'd be getting bronze2 rewards for a week)

So, tldr it doesnt matter. I'm going up.

How did You count this? Couse in my case going for higher league means loosing around 3k crystals. Just impossible to have 4 more teams and 2 Fleet to stay competetive.

"Gawejn;c-2326555" wrote:

"RoopeRenegade;c-2326533" wrote:
I did 30 mins Math, and then realised that the difference between staying and moving up is only 7 crystals altogether in 5 weeks.
(losing 3 matches just to drop down is a big crystal stash you're not getting, plus then you'd be getting bronze2 rewards for a week)

So, tldr it doesnt matter. I'm going up.

How did You count this? Couse in my case going for higher league means loosing around 3k crystals. Just impossible to have 4 more teams and 2 Fleet to stay competetive.

What were your assumptions to get to a 3k difference? I did similar calculations and it wasn't that big unless I assumed 0-3 vs 3-0 which isn't realistic to assume since you are fighting the same people in week 1 (they promoted with you) and you can't go 3-0 every week and not promote. I still think if you are a fringe account that could stay down with 1 extra loss then staying down an extra season is a good idea.

To not promote you have to keep yourself in division 2, not division 1. All of div 1 gets promoted, not the top 10% of div 1. So your numbers have to include losing enough to keep out of div 1 at the end of the season. And some of the win crystals in your calculation have to include the div 2 rewards, not the div 1 rewards.

That's a lot of intentional losses, and you might get some unintentional losses too. Just take the winning crystals when you can.